Sat, Jan 13, 2018·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 28 | 012 | 03 | 2 | 432 |
| MTL | 19 | 26 | 010 | 05 | 1 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:22MTLMax PaciorettyAssists: Victor Mete, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.36 xG0–1
- P1 17:40BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–1
- P2 2:55BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 5:45MTLNicolas DeslauriersUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 8:51MTLAlex GalchenyukPPAssists: Jonathan Drouin, Jeff Petry · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P2 17:42BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Jake DeBrusk · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. MTL Paul Byron scored
- 2. BOS Jake DeBrusk scored
- 3. MTL Jonathan Drouin stopped
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
- 5. MTL Max Pacioretty stopped
- 6. BOS Charlie McAvoy stopped
- 7. MTL Alex Galchenyuk stopped
- 8. BOS Brad Marchand scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:34BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:11MTLPhillip Danault: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 8:22BOSDavid Pastrnak: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 12:54BOSKevan Miller: Boarding2 min
- P3 7:04BOSTorey Krug: Interference2 min
- P3 7:04MTLJeff Petry: Embellishment2 min
- P3 14:58BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Plekanec
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:59
xG 0.25–0.32 (44%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Backes – Nash – Heinen12:23
xG 0.31–0.41 (43%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk12:13
xG 0.50–0.67 (43%)attempts 12–11goals 2–1
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari7:28
xG 0.08–0.85 (9%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Krug – Carlo12:46
xG 0.35–0.35 (50%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy16:36
xG 0.45–0.69 (40%)attempts 14–15goals 2–1
- Miller – Grzelcyk16:01
xG 0.39–1.24 (24%)attempts 12–20goals 0–1
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Shaw – de la Rose8:46
xG 0.68–0.15 (82%)attempts 10–3goals 1–1
- Plekanec – Byron – Gallagher11:20
xG 0.62–0.19 (77%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Danault – Lehkonen7:46
xG 0.64–0.41 (61%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Galchenyuk – Hudon – Drouin7:18
xG 0.26–0.19 (57%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Mete11:40
xG 1.29–0.17 (88%)attempts 14–7goals 2–0
- Petry – Alzner16:47
xG 0.33–0.37 (47%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Benn – Jerabek15:25
xG 0.39–0.81 (33%)attempts 18–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).