Wed, Jan 17, 2018·TD Garden, Boston
Montréal Canadiens 1, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 16 | 07 | 09 | 122 |
| BOS | 112 | 113 | 27 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:31MTLJakub JerabekAssists: Charles Hudon, Paul Byron · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 6:50BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 2:37BOSRyan SpoonerGWGAssists: David Krejci, Jake DeBrusk · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 3:40BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–3
- P3 16:46BOSDavid KrejciENAssists: David Backes · Wrist, 0.71 xG1–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 8:33BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding2 min
- P2 9:24BOSBrandon Carlo: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:48MTLByron Froese: Slashing2 min
- P3 2:41MTLJacob de la Rose: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:11MTLByron Froese: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Hudon
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Galchenyuk – Drouin6:49
xG 0.41–0.14 (74%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Byron – Pacioretty – Hudon9:00
xG 0.24–0.12 (67%)attempts 5–10goals 1–1
- Plekanec – Gallagher – Lehkonen9:41
xG 0.29–0.30 (50%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – de la Rose – Drouin5:45
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Mete12:39
xG 0.45–0.25 (64%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Petry – Alzner14:27
xG 0.23–0.30 (43%)attempts 6–16goals 0–1
- Benn – Jerabek18:27
xG 0.52–0.64 (45%)attempts 15–21goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBackes – Nash – Heinen12:01
xG 0.41–0.09 (81%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk12:16
xG 0.44–0.34 (57%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak10:30
xG 0.22–0.36 (38%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari11:02
xG 0.21–0.38 (36%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Grzelcyk13:15
xG 0.60–0.19 (76%)attempts 15–7goals 1–0
- Chara – McAvoy16:31
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 18–9goals 1–1
- Chara – Carlo2:16
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).