Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New Jersey Devils 1, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 05 | 114 | 010 | 129 |
| PHI | 313 | 011 | 07 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:29PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Scott Laughton · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 8:30PHIValtteri FilppulaGWGAssists: Michael Raffl, Radko Gudas · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 12:15PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: Travis Konecny, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–3
- P2 8:12NJDJesper BrattPPAssists: Will Butcher, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 16:28NJDJohn Moore: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:28PHIMichael Raffl: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:36PHIScott Laughton: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:15NJDKyle Palmieri: Boarding2 min
- P2 4:35PHIBrandon Manning: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:41PHIScott Laughton: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:55NJDKyle Palmieri: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:23NJDTaylor Hall: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:29NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:59PHITravis Konecny: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:58PHIRobert Hagg: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestStafford – Zajac – Johansson6:32
xG 0.27–0.14 (65%)attempts 7–3goals 0–1
- Boyle – Hall – Noesen2:21
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Boyle – Gibbons – Noesen3:20
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Palmieri – Hall – Zacha2:22
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Butcher2:30
xG 0.24–0.09 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher9:32
xG 0.24–0.38 (39%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Greene – Vatanen10:08
xG 0.28–0.61 (31%)attempts 5–7goals 0–2
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny9:47
xG 0.87–0.14 (86%)attempts 13–5goals 2–0
- Simmonds – Weal – Patrick7:55
xG 0.86–0.18 (82%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Lehtera – Laughton – Goulbourne3:38
xG 0.10–0.01 (89%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Filppula – Voracek – Raffl9:23
xG 0.30–0.42 (42%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov13:17
xG 1.37–0.20 (87%)attempts 20–6goals 2–0
- MacDonald – Hagg12:02
xG 0.84–0.39 (69%)attempts 12–15goals 0–0
- Manning – Gudas11:23
xG 0.33–0.22 (60%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).