Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 29 | 010 | 227 |
| EDM | 28 | 112 | 215 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:25EDMPatrick MaroonAssists: Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 17:59EDMJujhar KhairaAssists: Jesse Puljujarvi, Leon Draisaitl · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 1:46VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Brock Boeser · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 8:56VANBrandon SutterAssists: Sven Baertschi, Chris Tanev · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 18:54EDMJesse PuljujarviGWGAssists: Adam Larsson, Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–3
- P3 4:37EDMLeon DraisaitlAssists: Jesse Puljujarvi, Milan Lucic · Snap, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 17:17EDMPatrick MaroonENAssists: Leon Draisaitl · Snap, 0.66 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:38EDMJesse Puljujarvi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 11:47VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:57EDMDarnell Nurse: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:20VANJake Virtanen: Holding2 min
- P3 5:59EDMMatt Benning: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:57VANLoui Eriksson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Khaira won the faceoff against Sutter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Dowd – Gaunce7:03
xG 0.83–0.12 (88%)attempts 16–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Virtanen5:45
xG 0.31–0.09 (78%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Sutter – Granlund – Baertschi5:53
xG 0.05–0.05 (50%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Sutter – Baertschi – Boeser2:09
xG 0.04–0.09 (31%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher16:21
xG 1.30–0.61 (68%)attempts 30–8goals 0–2
- Pouliot – Hutton13:45
xG 0.29–0.59 (33%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Tanev13:02
xG 0.19–1.16 (14%)attempts 5–18goals 1–1
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestLucic – Draisaitl – Puljujarvi10:58
xG 1.05–0.27 (80%)attempts 12–11goals 2–1
- Letestu – Kassian – Pakarinen6:26
xG 0.11–0.03 (78%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Strome – Khaira10:39
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Maroon – McDavid – Caggiula13:25
xG 0.83–1.13 (42%)attempts 10–21goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Nurse16:00
xG 2.15–0.31 (87%)attempts 23–9goals 3–0
- Russell – Klefbom2:06
xG 0.16–0.01 (93%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Sekera – Russell10:17
xG 0.30–0.20 (60%)attempts 7–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).