Tue, Jan 23, 2018·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 2, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 020 | 27 | 012 | 239 |
| BOS | 09 | 311 | 04 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:05NJDMiles WoodAssists: Will Butcher, Nico Hischier · Tip-in, 0.02 xG1–0
- P2 7:03BOSRiley NashAssists: Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 9:03NJDDamon SeversonAssists: Marcus Johansson, Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 12:53BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Torey Krug · Snap, 0.11 xG2–2
- P2 19:27BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: David Pastrnak · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:44BOSBrandon Carlo: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:38NJDKyle Palmieri: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:51BOSMatt Grzelcyk: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:00BOSMatt Grzelcyk: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:30NJDMiles Wood: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:30NJDMiles Wood: Interference2 min
- P2 12:03NJDMarcus Johansson: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:12BOSAdam McQuaid: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestStafford – Johansson – Zacha9:59
xG 0.93–0.10 (91%)attempts 15–3goals 1–0
- Noesen – Wood – Hischier8:24
xG 0.08–0.05 (62%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Boyle – Hayes – Coleman5:56
xG 0.06–0.20 (23%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Bratt10:20
xG 0.15–0.43 (26%)attempts 5–15goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Severson13:27
xG 0.84–0.08 (91%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher9:17
xG 0.41–0.11 (79%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Greene – Severson2:02
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Backes – Nash – Heinen8:27
xG 0.10–0.15 (40%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari7:20
xG 0.08–0.19 (30%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:58
xG 0.19–0.31 (38%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk10:37
xG 0.29–0.52 (36%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Miller – Grzelcyk14:53
xG 0.32–0.33 (49%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Krug14:01
xG 0.20–0.50 (28%)attempts 7–12goals 1–1
- Chara – Carlo15:54
xG 0.33–0.86 (28%)attempts 10–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).