Thu, Jan 25, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
Winnipeg Jets 3, Anaheim Ducks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 114 | 19 | 14 | 00 | 0 | 327 |
| ANA | 111 | 111 | 111 | 06 | 1 | 439 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25WPGPatrik LaineUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 6:48ANAAdam HenriqueUnassisted · Snap, 0.17 xG1–1
- P2 1:24ANANick RitchieAssists: Adam Henrique, Jakob Silfverberg · Tip-in, 0.24 xG1–2
- P2 3:35WPGBrandon TanevAssists: Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P3 5:48ANARyan KeslerAssists: Andrew Cogliano, JT Brown · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 6:19WPGJack RoslovicUnassisted · Slap, 0.04 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 2. WPG Bryan Little stopped
- 3. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 4. WPG Patrik Laine stopped
- 5. ANA Rickard Rakell stopped
- 6. WPG Blake Wheeler stopped
- 7. ANA Ondrej Kase stopped
- 8. WPG Matt Hendricks stopped
- 9. ANA Adam Henrique scored
- 10. WPG Mathieu Perreault stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:18ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:38WPGMathieu Perreault: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 16:22ANARyan Getzlaf: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:54WPGToby Enstrom: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:48WPGMarko Dano: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:54WPGNikolaj Ehlers: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Roslovic – Laine10:55
xG 0.81–0.75 (52%)attempts 12–14goals 2–1
- Little – Perreault – Ehlers12:46
xG 0.45–0.52 (46%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
- Hendricks – Dano – Connor7:14
xG 0.11–0.33 (24%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Armia – Copp – Tanev9:15
xG 0.30–0.71 (30%)attempts 4–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Morrissey20:12
xG 1.13–0.66 (63%)attempts 19–16goals 2–1
- Myers – Chiarot11:40
xG 0.23–0.45 (34%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Byfuglien13:16
xG 0.62–1.10 (36%)attempts 12–21goals 1–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Perry – Wagner5:50
xG 0.28–0.17 (63%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Henrique – Ritchie – Kase3:13
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Kase9:12
xG 0.66–0.63 (51%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Ritchie6:43
xG 0.35–0.31 (52%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestBeauchemin – Montour11:01
xG 0.89–0.20 (81%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Beauchemin – Fowler2:16
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Manson – Lindholm16:16
xG 0.61–0.62 (50%)attempts 19–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).