Tue, Jan 30, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Minnesota Wild 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 011 | 120 | 19 | 03 | 2 | 343 |
| CBJ | 16 | 011 | 19 | 04 | 1 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:16CBJDavid SavardAssists: Dean Kukan, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 4:25MINJason ZuckerPPAssists: Jonas Brodin, Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.37 xG1–1
- P3 12:10MINCharlie CoyleAssists: Mathew Dumba · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 14:48CBJArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Cam Atkinson, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. MIN Chris Stewart scored
- 3. CBJ Artemi Panarin scored
- 4. MIN Charlie Coyle stopped
- 5. CBJ Jussi Jokinen stopped
- 6. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 7. CBJ Alexander Wennberg stopped
- 8. MIN Zach Parise scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:22CBJDavid Savard: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:48MINMikael Granlund: Holding2 min
- P2 2:37CBJDavid Savard: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:04MINChris Stewart: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:33MINJason Zucker: Delaying game2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Coyle – Eriksson Ek9:57
xG 0.57–0.09 (86%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Staal – Parise – Ennis11:17
xG 0.74–0.52 (59%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Koivu – Zucker – Granlund12:47
xG 0.64–0.50 (56%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Cullen – Winnik – Stewart10:19
xG 0.44–0.36 (55%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon22:01
xG 1.11–0.71 (61%)attempts 24–20goals 0–1
- Brodin – Dumba18:16
xG 0.93–0.69 (57%)attempts 19–21goals 0–0
- Prosser – Olofsson8:47
xG 0.34–0.27 (56%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson2:12
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Calvert – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg2:47
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Wennberg6:58
xG 0.18–0.16 (54%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Foligno – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg2:09
xG 0.01–0.03 (32%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Nutivaara16:29
xG 0.77–0.67 (53%)attempts 20–13goals 0–0
- Savard – Kukan12:03
xG 0.25–0.54 (32%)attempts 6–16goals 1–0
- Jones – Werenski19:48
xG 0.49–1.18 (29%)attempts 15–23goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).