Fri, Feb 2, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
San Jose Sharks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 114 | 15 | 19 | 328 |
| CBJ | 07 | 18 | 014 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:07SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 4:30CBJBoone JennerAssists: Cam Atkinson, Dean Kukan · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 10:20SJSKevin LabancPPGWGAssists: Joe Pavelski · Slap, 0.24 xG2–1
- P3 6:51SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicAssists: Justin Braun, Logan Couture · Backhand, 0.07 xG3–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 4:14CBJMatt Calvert: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 9:34CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 9:34SJSBrenden Dillon: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 8:25CBJSeth Jones: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:13CBJNick Foligno: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:34SJSJoel Ward: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Donskoi – Meier11:53
xG 0.83–0.10 (89%)attempts 18–4goals 1–0
- Ward – Goodrow – O'Regan7:33
xG 0.11–0.25 (31%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Boedker – Tierney – Karlsson9:18
xG 0.42–0.60 (41%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
- Couture – Hertl – Labanc10:31
xG 0.20–0.70 (23%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ryan16:05
xG 1.05–0.55 (65%)attempts 23–14goals 0–0
- Dillon – DeMelo11:08
xG 0.35–0.22 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun16:13
xG 0.46–1.37 (25%)attempts 11–26goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Wennberg – Panarin6:13
xG 0.82–0.22 (79%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Calvert – Sedlak3:43
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Jenner – Anderson7:44
xG 0.44–0.38 (53%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Calvert – Bjorkstrand – Dubois2:00
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Nutivaara18:22
xG 0.96–0.30 (76%)attempts 19–15goals 0–0
- Savard – Kukan10:08
xG 0.75–0.41 (65%)attempts 15–14goals 1–1
- Jones – Werenski20:15
xG 0.54–1.34 (29%)attempts 16–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).