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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 3, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Ottawa Senators 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.

PHI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Ceci, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 2:11Shot by Lehtera, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:54Dzingel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov · OTT Burrows, Thompson, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Ceci

  6. P1 3:54Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov · OTT Burrows, Thompson, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Ceci

  7. P1 3:54Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov · OTT Burrows, Thompson, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Ceci

  8. P1 5:20Shot by Weal, saved by Anderson5v4
  9. P1 5:55Shot by Raffl, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:21Shot by Laughton, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 6:31Shot by Lehtera, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 6:41Shot by DiDomenico, saved by Lyon
  13. P1 7:58Dzingel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Manning, Hagg, Patrick · OTT Oduya, Karlsson, Duchene, Dzingel, White

  14. P1 9:57Shot by Patrick, saved by Anderson5v4
  15. P1 10:27Shot by Hagg, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 10:53Goal by Duchene (Hoffman, White)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Weal, Laughton, Raffl, Hagg · OTT Oduya, Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, White

  17. P1 11:26Shot by Ceci, saved by Lyon
  18. P1 11:28Shot by Brassard, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 11:32Goal by Brassard (Ceci, Dzingel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Provorov, Patrick · OTT Brassard, DiDomenico, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Ceci

  20. P1 11:53Manning: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Konecny · OTT Oduya, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, White

  21. P1 13:22Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon4v5
  22. P1 14:13Filppula: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Filppula, Voracek, Simmonds, Gudas, Provorov · OTT Brassard, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, Chabot

  23. P1 16:13Shot by Ceci, saved by Lyon4v5
  24. P1 17:26Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 17:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:42Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 2:47Shot by Burrows, saved by Lyon
  30. P2 3:16Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 3:50Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 3:49Shot by Konecny, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 3:53Goal by Couturier (Gudas, Konecny)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Konecny · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Smith, Pageau, Ceci

  34. P2 4:39Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 5:58Shot by Burrows, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 7:59Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 8:03Shot by Patrick, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 8:37Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:58Shot by Filppula, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:51Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lyon
  41. P2 11:52Shot by Smith, saved by Lyon
  42. P2 13:02Goal by DiDomenico (Dzingel)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Couturier, Hagg, Konecny · OTT Oduya, Brassard, DiDomenico, Karlsson, Dzingel

  43. P2 13:19Shot by White, saved by Lyon
  44. P2 13:43Shot by Lehtera, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 14:01Shot by Burrows, saved by Lyon
  46. P2 14:11Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 14:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Lyon
  48. P2 14:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lyon
  49. P2 15:58Shot by Raffl, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 16:20Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 16:40Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 17:18Shot by Chabot, saved by Lyon
  53. P2 17:31White: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Provorov, Patrick · OTT Phaneuf, Karlsson, Hoffman, Duchene, White

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:55Shot by Konecny, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 1:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 1:40Shot by Provorov, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 2:30Shot by Manning, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 2:32Shot by Patrick, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 5:19Shot by Patrick, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 5:21Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 5:51Shot by Brassard, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 6:25Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Neuvirth
  65. P3 7:55Shot by Leier, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 8:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 9:58Shot by Manning, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 13:15Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 14:15Goal by Laughton (Manning, Konecny)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Manning, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Konecny · OTT Phaneuf, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci, White

  70. P3 17:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Neuvirth
  71. P3 19:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson6v5
  72. P3 19:09Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson6v5
  73. P3 19:51Thompson: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · OTT Thompson, Karlsson, Duchene, Pageau, Ceci

  74. P3 19:51Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · OTT Thompson, Karlsson, Duchene, Pageau, Ceci

  75. P3 19:51Thompson: Roughing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · OTT Thompson, Karlsson, Duchene, Pageau, Ceci

  76. P3 19:51Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · OTT Thompson, Karlsson, Duchene, Pageau, Ceci

  77. P3 19:55Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson6v5
  78. P3 19:57Goal by Patrick (Voracek, Gostisbehere)6v5+53 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny, Patrick · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Duchene, Pageau, Ceci

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:26Shot by Hoffman, saved by Neuvirth3v3
  82. OT 1:26Shot by Brassard, saved by Neuvirth3v3
  83. OT 3:25Shot by Duchene, saved by Neuvirth3v3
  84. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  85. SO Period start
  86. SO Shot by Weal, saved by Andersonother
  87. SO Shot by Duchene, saved by Neuvirthother
  88. SO Shot by Karlsson, saved by Neuvirthother
  89. SO Shot by Voracek, saved by Andersonother
  90. SO Shot by Pyatt, saved by Neuvirthother
  91. SO Shot by Giroux, saved by Andersonother
  92. SO Shot by Simmonds, saved by Andersonother
  93. SO Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Andersonother
  94. SO Goal by Hoffman, unassistedother
  95. SO Period end
  96. SO Final