Wed, Feb 7, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York
Boston Bruins 6, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 211 | 311 | 112 | 634 |
| NYR | 111 | 07 | 04 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:00NYRRick NashUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 7:54BOSRiley NashAssists: David Backes, Danton Heinen · Snap, 0.24 xG1–1
- P1 16:09BOSZdeno CharaGWGAssists: Jake DeBrusk · Snap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 3:47BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 7:25BOSTim SchallerAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Anton Khudobin · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–1
- P2 10:00BOSPatrice BergeronSHAssists: Brad Marchand, Zdeno Chara · Tip-in, 0.16 xG5–1
- P3 6:34BOSSean KuralyAssists: Austin Czarnik, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.01 xG6–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:42BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:42NYRCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:31BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P2 17:55NYRJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:26NYRJesper Fast: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:22BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:22NYRCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P3 15:22BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:28
xG 1.25–0.58 (68%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- Backes – Nash – Heinen11:33
xG 0.60–0.47 (56%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Kuraly – Schaller – Czarnik8:58
xG 0.16–0.18 (47%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk10:42
xG 0.46–0.80 (37%)attempts 7–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – McAvoy3:40
xG 0.70–0.06 (92%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Krug – Carlo15:07
xG 0.92–0.65 (59%)attempts 15–15goals 2–0
- McQuaid – Grzelcyk12:06
xG 0.39–0.34 (53%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestNash – Zuccarello – Zibanejad10:26
xG 0.93–0.11 (90%)attempts 13–4goals 1–1
- McLeod – Carey – Holland8:15
xG 0.62–0.55 (53%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
- Desharnais – Miller – Lettieri13:00
xG 0.34–0.51 (40%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Grabner – Hayes – Fast10:26
xG 0.12–0.86 (12%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Kampfer – Skjei14:42
xG 0.66–0.75 (47%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Smith – DeAngelo14:09
xG 0.92–1.05 (47%)attempts 14–12goals 1–3
- McDonagh – Holden15:31
xG 0.57–0.77 (43%)attempts 10–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).