Wed, Feb 7, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Edmonton Oilers 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 03 | 215 | 09 | 227 |
| LAK | 16 | 15 | 317 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:10LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 0:58LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 3:28EDMLeon DraisaitlPPAssists: Connor McDavid, Oscar Klefbom · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 10:20EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Michael Cammalleri · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 14:33LAKPaul LaDuePPGWGAssists: Trevor Lewis, Kevin Gravel · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 18:17LAKAlex IafalloENAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.68 xG2–4
- P3 19:00LAKAnze KopitarENAssists: Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.53 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:43EDMMatt Benning: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:06EDMJujhar Khaira: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:06LAKChristian Folin: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:06EDMJujhar Khaira: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:02LAKKevin Gravel: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 5:30LAKDerek Forbort: Holding2 min
- P2 11:40LAKChristian Folin: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:03EDMJesse Puljujarvi: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Lucic – Khaira6:00
xG 0.64–0.16 (80%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi9:56
xG 0.64–0.43 (60%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Letestu – Kassian – Pakarinen6:26
xG 0.09–0.04 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Draisaitl – McDavid5:02
xG 0.02–0.06 (22%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlefbom – Benning13:29
xG 0.74–0.34 (69%)attempts 9–18goals 0–2
- Russell – Nurse17:21
xG 0.90–0.56 (62%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Sekera – Davidson12:06
xG 0.08–0.41 (17%)attempts 6–15goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Toffoli – Iafallo8:51
xG 0.37–0.15 (71%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo3:26
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Andreoff – Brodzinski – Amadio7:02
xG 0.21–0.08 (72%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Pearson – Kempe2:34
xG 0.07–0.05 (60%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort18:02
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Muzzin – LaDue13:39
xG 0.38–0.23 (62%)attempts 20–6goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Folin3:19
xG 0.07–0.46 (13%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).