Thu, Feb 8, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Montréal Canadiens 3, Philadelphia Flyers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 09 | 28 | 111 | 328 |
| PHI | 010 | 27 | 311 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:42PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Claude Giroux, Sean Couturier · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 9:09MTLArtturi LehkonenSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 9:37PHIClaude GirouxPPAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Wayne Simmonds · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 18:49MTLLogan ShawAssists: Byron Froese · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 0:27PHIJakub VoracekPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 1:28PHITravis KonecnyGWGAssists: Sean Couturier, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.38 xG2–4
- P3 17:06MTLBrendan GallagherPPAssists: Jonathan Drouin, Alex Galchenyuk · Tip-in, 0.26 xG3–4
- P3 19:04PHIIvan ProvorovENAssists: Brian Elliott · Wrist, 0.43 xG3–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 4:06MTLTomas Plekanec: Holding2 min
- P1 6:24PHIClaude Giroux: Interference2 min
- P2 6:22MTLTomas Plekanec: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:44MTLByron Froese: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:38PHINolan Patrick: Holding2 min
- P2 19:21MTLTomas Plekanec: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:30MTLJonathan Drouin: Tripping2 min
- P3 11:30PHITravis Konecny: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 16:30PHIScott Laughton: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Plekanec won the faceoff against Patrick
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPlekanec – Gallagher – Lehkonen11:04
xG 1.18–0.21 (85%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Froese – Shaw8:40
xG 0.25–0.14 (63%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Galchenyuk – Drouin – Scherbak7:05
xG 0.12–0.09 (56%)attempts 7–1goals 0–1
- Byron – Pacioretty – Hudon9:10
xG 0.11–0.56 (16%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPetry – Alzner11:17
xG 0.90–0.26 (77%)attempts 12–6goals 0–1
- Schlemko – Mete11:09
xG 0.19–0.54 (26%)attempts 9–7goals 1–1
- Benn – Morrow13:32
xG 0.11–0.63 (15%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestWeal – Laughton – Raffl10:10
xG 0.92–0.10 (90%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny9:22
xG 0.54–0.25 (69%)attempts 5–9goals 2–0
- Filppula – Lehtera – Weise4:20
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Filppula – Voracek – Simmonds4:57
xG 0.08–0.32 (19%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Provorov13:53
xG 0.66–0.20 (77%)attempts 11–6goals 2–0
- MacDonald – Hagg11:58
xG 0.42–0.16 (72%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- MacDonald – Manning3:04
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).