Thu, Feb 8, 2018·United Center, Chicago
Dallas Stars 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 014 | 39 | 17 | 430 |
| CHI | 112 | 117 | 010 | 239 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:07CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 5:44DALTyler SeguinAssists: Alexander Radulov, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 6:43DALStephen JohnsAssists: Remi Elie, Radek Faksa · Slap, 0.01 xG2–1
- P2 12:48CHIArtem AnisimovPPAssists: Brent Seabrook, Vinnie Hinostroza · Wrist, 0.42 xG2–2
- P2 19:55DALTyler PitlickGWGAssists: John Klingberg · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 19:02DALTyler SeguinENAssists: Greg Pateryn · Wrist, 0.64 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:55DALJohn Klingberg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 19:04CHITommy Wingels: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:17DALJamie Benn: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:40DALAlexander Radulov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:31DALJamie Benn: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Faksa won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestHanzal – Ritchie – Elie4:46
xG 0.49–0.08 (86%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Hanzal – Shore – Janmark3:50
xG 0.32–0.01 (96%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Spezza – Shore – Janmark6:58
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Radulov – Benn – Seguin13:18
xG 0.42–0.43 (49%)attempts 11–19goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohns – Honka6:06
xG 0.66–0.16 (80%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Pateryn14:45
xG 0.74–0.66 (53%)attempts 14–27goals 1–1
- Johns – Klingberg3:52
xG 0.09–0.07 (56%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Hartman11:34
xG 0.35–0.11 (76%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Toews – Duclair – DeBrincat10:43
xG 0.36–0.26 (58%)attempts 16–7goals 1–1
- Sharp – Wingels – Kampf8:12
xG 0.37–0.46 (45%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Saad – Hinostroza – Schmaltz10:14
xG 0.21–0.85 (19%)attempts 9–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Gustafsson12:54
xG 0.67–0.33 (67%)attempts 24–10goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Oesterle2:38
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Keith – Oesterle2:16
xG 0.05–0.10 (32%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).