Sat, Feb 10, 2018·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 017 | 012 | 015 | 044 |
| MIN | 25 | 17 | 07 | 319 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:58MINCharlie CoyleGWGAssists: Zach Parise, Jared Spurgeon · Deflected, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 6:31MINMikko KoivuPPAssists: Mathew Dumba, Ryan Suter · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 2:22MINCharlie CoyleAssists: Eric Staal, Gustav Olofsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:47MINMike Reilly: Cross checking2 min
- P1 2:47MINMarcus Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:47CHILance Bouma: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 2:47MINMarcus Foligno: Roughing2 min
- P1 5:54CHIBrandon Saad: Holding2 min
- P1 12:00CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:53MINMathew Dumba: Holding2 min
- P2 9:31MINMatt Cullen: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:19CHIVinnie Hinostroza: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 12:32CHITommy Wingels: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Staal won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBouma – Hinostroza – Kampf5:09
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Toews – Duclair – DeBrincat6:19
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Hartman4:11
xG 0.24–0.11 (68%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Anisimov – Kane – Saad2:43
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Oesterle3:03
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Gustafsson9:48
xG 0.44–0.20 (69%)attempts 19–8goals 0–1
- Keith – Oesterle11:04
xG 0.34–0.24 (59%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- Staal – Ennis – Niederreiter8:27
xG 0.14–0.09 (60%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Winnik – Foligno – Eriksson Ek7:09
xG 0.19–0.24 (44%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Koivu – Zucker – Granlund10:52
xG 0.09–0.34 (21%)attempts 1–15goals 0–0
- Cullen – Parise – Coyle8:44
xG 0.29–0.58 (33%)attempts 9–20goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon11:50
xG 0.50–0.17 (74%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Dumba – Olofsson17:04
xG 0.42–0.56 (43%)attempts 11–22goals 1–0
- Suter – Prosser2:58
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).