Sun, Feb 11, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vancouver Canucks 6, Dallas Stars 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 316 | 217 | 18 | 641 |
| DAL | 06 | 011 | 013 | 030 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:11VANReid BoucherGWGUnassisted · Snap, 0.21 xG1–0
- P1 11:38VANJake VirtanenUnassisted · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–0
- P1 13:27VANThomas VanekAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.05 xG3–0
- P2 4:41VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–0
- P2 14:35VANReid BoucherAssists: Derrick Pouliot, Jake Virtanen · Tip-in, 0.08 xG5–0
- P3 7:48VANErik GudbransonAssists: Darren Archibald, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.03 xG6–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:52VANHenrik Sedin: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:51DALJulius Honka: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:17DALJamie Benn: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:27DALAlexander Radulov: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:34DALTyler Pitlick: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:34DALTyler Pitlick: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:25DALAntoine Roussel: Charging2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sutter won the faceoff against Seguin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDowd – Boucher – Virtanen10:32
xG 1.44–0.28 (84%)attempts 17–10goals 3–0
- Eriksson – Sutter – Archibald10:41
xG 0.29–0.08 (79%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vanek7:39
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser13:16
xG 0.14–0.77 (16%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPouliot – Hutton13:28
xG 1.35–0.63 (68%)attempts 19–16goals 2–0
- Edler – Gudbranson16:23
xG 0.57–0.39 (60%)attempts 17–18goals 2–0
- Del Zotto – Stecher15:06
xG 0.42–0.55 (43%)attempts 19–14goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestHanzal – Roussel – Ritchie5:15
xG 0.52–0.20 (72%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Spezza – Janmark – Elie5:46
xG 0.37–0.16 (70%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Faksa – Shore6:00
xG 0.22–0.12 (65%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Spezza – Shore – Janmark2:26
xG 0.20–0.16 (56%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Pateryn14:45
xG 0.94–0.52 (64%)attempts 20–17goals 0–2
- Johns – Klingberg3:23
xG 0.20–0.04 (84%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Lindell – Honka3:40
xG 0.11–0.16 (41%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).