Sun, Feb 11, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 5, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 212 | 19 | 26 | 527 |
| NJD | 110 | 216 | 012 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:32BOSTorey KrugSHUnassisted · Deflected, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 16:26NJDMiles WoodAssists: Blake Coleman · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 19:57BOSTim SchallerSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–1
- P2 0:31NJDTaylor HallAssists: Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 2:03BOSTorey KrugPPAssists: Ryan Spooner, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.05 xG3–2
- P2 11:07NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Taylor Hall, Sami Vatanen · Deflected, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 11:55BOSAdam McQuaidGWGAssists: Riley Nash, Matt Grzelcyk · Snap, 0.02 xG4–3
- P3 19:21BOSPatrice BergeronENAssists: Brad Marchand, David Backes · Wrist, 0.71 xG5–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 5:54NJDMirco Mueller: Cross checking2 min
- P1 6:06BOSPatrice Bergeron: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P1 11:35BOSAdam McQuaid: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:19NJDMiles Wood: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:10BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:00NJDDrew Stafford: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P2 6:26NJDSami Vatanen: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:24BOSZdeno Chara: Interference2 min
- P3 2:26BOSSean Kuraly: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:13BOSDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:18BOSPatrice Bergeron: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:21BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:21BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:21BOSAdam McQuaid: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Nash
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Krejci – Spooner – DeBrusk6:23
xG 0.25–0.27 (48%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Backes – Nash – Heinen5:00
xG 0.06–0.17 (25%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari10:10
xG 0.29–0.69 (30%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak8:30
xG 0.17–0.74 (19%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – Carlo10:20
xG 0.40–0.33 (55%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Krug2:36
xG 0.11–0.12 (48%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Chara – Carlo3:32
xG 0.03–0.08 (31%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier6:54
xG 0.68–0.10 (87%)attempts 9–1goals 2–0
- Zajac – Noesen – Wood8:59
xG 0.56–0.07 (89%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Stafford – Zacha – Bratt5:28
xG 0.49–0.36 (58%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Boyle – Hayes – Coleman2:28
xG 0.00–0.22 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVatanen – Mueller11:50
xG 0.95–0.16 (86%)attempts 17–4goals 3–0
- Greene – Lovejoy10:57
xG 0.70–0.49 (59%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Severson – Butcher10:04
xG 0.38–0.18 (68%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).