Tue, Feb 13, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, New York Islanders 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 026 | 215 | 210 | 451 |
| NYI | 111 | 07 | 012 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:51NYIJohn TavaresPPAssists: Anders Lee, Josh Bailey · Tip-in, 0.31 xG0–1
- P2 6:02CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 19:03CBJPierre-Luc DuboisPPGWGAssists: Zach Werenski, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 6:01CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Boone Jenner, Josh Anderson · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG3–1
- P3 6:44CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Artemi Panarin, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.14 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:46NYIRoss Johnston: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:06NYIRoss Johnston: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:33CBJJussi Jokinen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:10NYINick Leddy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 15:49CBJJack Johnson: Holding2 min
- P2 17:39NYIBrock Nelson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:37NYIMathew Barzal: Cross checking2 min
- P3 7:37CBJJussi Jokinen: Embellishment2 min
- P3 11:03CBJDavid Savard: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cizikas won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg11:29
xG 1.29–0.58 (69%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Jenner – Anderson7:49
xG 0.68–0.41 (62%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Jokinen – Calvert – Sedlak6:06
xG 0.24–0.11 (69%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois11:51
xG 0.52–0.47 (53%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Kukan12:14
xG 0.84–0.30 (74%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski15:34
xG 1.27–0.99 (56%)attempts 23–22goals 0–0
- Johnson – Nutivaara13:24
xG 0.69–0.53 (56%)attempts 22–8goals 1–0
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestChimera – Cizikas – Johnston8:11
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Bailey – Tavares – Lee12:07
xG 0.37–0.77 (33%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Eberle – Barzal – Beauvillier10:20
xG 0.66–1.09 (38%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
- Ladd – Clutterbuck – Nelson8:52
xG 0.30–0.83 (26%)attempts 7–22goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Leddy14:38
xG 0.84–0.65 (57%)attempts 21–20goals 0–1
- Hickey – Pulock15:04
xG 0.86–0.72 (54%)attempts 15–20goals 0–0
- Hickey – Pelech2:25
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).