Thu, Feb 15, 2018·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 1, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 09 | 022 | 113 | 144 |
| SJS | 110 | 111 | 29 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:41SJSMikkel BoedkerAssists: Chris Tierney, Dylan DeMelo · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P2 4:57SJSBrent BurnsGWGAssists: Joakim Ryan, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.13 xG0–2
- P3 3:06SJSMarcus SorensenAssists: Justin Braun, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–3
- P3 6:43VANDaniel SedinAssists: Thomas Vanek, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 12:33SJSChris TierneyAssists: Brent Burns, Mikkel Boedker · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 3:54VANJake Virtanen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 16:25VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:46VANMichael Del Zotto: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:40SJSBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sutter won the faceoff against Tierney
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Vanek12:55
xG 1.01–0.25 (80%)attempts 25–8goals 1–0
- Boucher – Horvat – Virtanen3:17
xG 0.65–0.28 (69%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Dowd – Boucher – Virtanen4:32
xG 0.25–0.31 (45%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Sutter – Virtanen2:05
xG 0.10–0.17 (36%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Stecher16:13
xG 1.31–1.09 (55%)attempts 23–14goals 1–2
- Biega – Pouliot15:33
xG 0.57–0.48 (54%)attempts 19–12goals 0–1
- Edler – Gudbranson19:04
xG 0.75–0.70 (51%)attempts 24–20goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Donskoi – Labanc9:28
xG 0.82–0.21 (80%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Sorensen – Goodrow – Karlsson2:45
xG 0.35–0.06 (85%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Goodrow – Karlsson2:16
xG 0.00–0.10 (2%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Hansen – Boedker – Tierney12:46
xG 0.48–0.84 (36%)attempts 8–21goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ryan11:49
xG 0.92–0.32 (74%)attempts 15–11goals 2–0
- Heed – Ryan4:59
xG 0.58–0.38 (61%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Dillon – DeMelo10:09
xG 0.32–0.81 (28%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).