Sat, Feb 17, 2018·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Anaheim Ducks 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 19 | 07 | 114 | 01 | 3 | 331 |
| MIN | 110 | 114 | 011 | 03 | 2 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:50ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Adam Henrique, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 15:36MINMikko KoivuUnassisted · Deflected, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 7:56MINJason ZuckerAssists: Nate Prosser · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 6:12ANAOndrej KaseAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Nick Ritchie · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 2. ANA Ryan Getzlaf scored
- 3. MIN Chris Stewart stopped
- 4. ANA Rickard Rakell stopped
- 5. MIN Zach Parise scored
- 6. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 7. MIN Nino Niederreiter scored
- 8. ANA Ondrej Kase scored
- 9. MIN Jason Zucker stopped
- 10. ANA Adam Henrique stopped
- 11. MIN Eric Staal stopped
- 12. ANA Cam Fowler stopped
- 13. MIN Mikael Granlund stopped
- 14. ANA Jakob Silfverberg stopped
- 15. MIN Charlie Coyle stopped
- 16. ANA Brandon Montour stopped
- 17. MIN Matt Cullen stopped
- 18. ANA Derek Grant stopped
- 19. MIN Jared Spurgeon stopped
- 20. ANA Antoine Vermette stopped
- 21. MIN Mathew Dumba stopped
- 22. ANA Nick Ritchie scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:27MINNino Niederreiter: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 2:15ANAHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:53MINNate Prosser: Interference2 min
- P1 8:53MINNate Prosser: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:53ANAJT Brown: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:10ANARyan Getzlaf: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 0:38MINNino Niederreiter: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:54ANAAntoine Vermette: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Ritchie – Kase11:25
xG 0.73–0.28 (72%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Cogliano – Grant – Silfverberg9:39
xG 0.44–0.59 (43%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Vermette – Wagner – Brown3:48
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Rakell13:50
xG 0.43–0.75 (37%)attempts 17–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Montour15:26
xG 0.89–0.41 (68%)attempts 21–9goals 0–1
- Bieksa – Lindholm12:42
xG 0.41–0.26 (61%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Manson – Lindholm4:10
xG 0.04–0.15 (22%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Zucker – Granlund9:59
xG 0.44–0.36 (55%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Staal – Winnik – Stewart4:25
xG 0.23–0.16 (58%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Cullen – Winnik – Foligno2:32
xG 0.13–0.06 (67%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Staal – Stewart – Zucker3:30
xG 0.07–0.01 (88%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Olofsson13:51
xG 0.99–0.36 (74%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Spurgeon – Seeler4:06
xG 0.22–0.03 (89%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Suter – Dumba20:17
xG 0.59–0.69 (46%)attempts 21–26goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).