Sat, Feb 17, 2018·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 1, Vancouver Canucks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 018 | 08 | 119 | 145 |
| VAN | 49 | 110 | 15 | 624 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:00VANLoui ErikssonAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–1
- P1 10:54VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Thomas Vanek, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P1 11:50VANBo HorvatAssists: Troy Stecher, Anders Nilsson · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P1 18:39VANSven BaertschiUnassisted · Deflected, 0.14 xG0–4
- P2 2:44VANNic DowdAssists: Jake Virtanen, Derrick Pouliot · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–5
- P3 2:57BOSTim SchallerAssists: Torey Krug · Snap, 0.03 xG1–5
- P3 11:53VANLoui ErikssonSHAssists: Derrick Pouliot · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:13VANDerrick Pouliot: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:01VANDarren Archibald: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:01BOSBrandon Carlo: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:46VANMichael Del Zotto: Holding2 min
- P3 6:08VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:56VANSven Baertschi: Bench2 min
- P3 15:54VANBo Horvat: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nash won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Spooner – DeBrusk8:34
xG 0.66–0.27 (71%)attempts 17–4goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari8:02
xG 0.67–0.35 (66%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
- Backes – Nash – Heinen12:26
xG 0.49–0.37 (57%)attempts 15–5goals 0–1
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:01
xG 0.30–0.44 (40%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy3:48
xG 0.39–0.11 (78%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy12:47
xG 0.53–0.27 (66%)attempts 18–4goals 0–1
- McQuaid – Grzelcyk8:22
xG 0.32–0.14 (70%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHorvat – Goldobin – Boeser2:55
xG 0.26–0.05 (84%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Dowd – Virtanen – Goldobin4:34
xG 0.39–0.21 (65%)attempts 3–5goals 1–1
- Baertschi – Horvat – Boeser8:07
xG 0.35–0.34 (50%)attempts 4–9goals 2–0
- Eriksson – Sutter – Archibald8:23
xG 0.03–0.25 (10%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Gudbranson15:34
xG 0.61–0.44 (58%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Biega – Pouliot15:14
xG 0.95–1.00 (49%)attempts 11–17goals 3–0
- Del Zotto – Stecher16:14
xG 0.30–0.89 (25%)attempts 3–25goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).