Wed, Feb 21, 2018·United Center, Chicago
Ottawa Senators 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 14 | 114 | 09 | 07 | 2 | 234 |
| CHI | 114 | 110 | 010 | 04 | 3 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:19CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza, David Kampf · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 15:56OTTZack SmithAssists: Derick Brassard, Mark Stone · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–1
- P2 5:52CHIArtem AnisimovAssists: Patrick Kane, Erik Gustafsson · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 12:01OTTMatt DucheneAssists: Mark Stone, Fredrik Claesson · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 2. OTT Matt Duchene scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. OTT Thomas Chabot stopped
- 5. CHI Anthony Duclair stopped
- 6. OTT Ryan Dzingel stopped
- 7. CHI Alex DeBrincat scored
- 8. OTT Mike Hoffman scored
- 9. CHI Artem Anisimov stopped
- 10. OTT Marian Gaborik stopped
- 11. CHI Tomas Jurco stopped
- 12. OTT Tom Pyatt stopped
- 13. CHI Nick Schmaltz scored
- 14. OTT Mark Stone stopped
Penalties (3)
- P2 8:54CHIArtem Anisimov: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:32OTTZack Smith: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:09OTTThomas Chabot: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Brassard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Ottawa Senators
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Dzingel – Pageau9:55
xG 0.46–0.19 (70%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Brassard – Smith – Stone14:58
xG 0.88–0.73 (55%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
- Hoffman – Duchene – Paajarvi14:12
xG 0.68–0.68 (50%)attempts 17–14goals 0–1
- Pyatt – McCormick – Shore7:02
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBorowiecki – Ceci10:27
xG 0.87–0.25 (78%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Borowiecki – Claesson3:21
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Claesson – Chabot3:29
xG 0.26–0.09 (75%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Jurco14:39
xG 0.78–0.71 (52%)attempts 15–18goals 1–0
- Duclair – Schmaltz – DeBrincat11:13
xG 0.30–0.33 (47%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Hinostroza – Hartman – Kampf8:55
xG 0.23–0.48 (33%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Toews – Wingels – Saad12:24
xG 0.38–0.75 (34%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Oesterle19:08
xG 0.78–0.52 (60%)attempts 19–14goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Dahlstrom16:02
xG 0.84–0.73 (54%)attempts 19–17goals 2–0
- Keith – Seabrook2:12
xG 0.10–0.11 (48%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it OTT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − OTT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).