Thu, Feb 22, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Minnesota Wild 4, New Jersey Devils 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 06 | 313 | 16 | 425 |
| NJD | 118 | 16 | 016 | 240 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:27NJDTaylor HallPPAssists: Sami Vatanen, Kyle Palmieri · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 4:17NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Travis Zajac, Miles Wood · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 7:28MINMike ReillyAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Mathew Dumba · Snap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 12:25MINJoel Eriksson EkAssists: Daniel Winnik, Mikael Granlund · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 13:04MINChris StewartGWGAssists: Nick Seeler · Snap, 0.06 xG3–2
- P3 18:42MINEric StaalENAssists: Charlie Coyle · Backhand, 0.68 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:05MINRyan Suter: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:54MINEric Staal: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 15:38MINNick Seeler: Interference2 min
- P2 5:22NJDNico Hischier: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:07NJDSami Vatanen: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Koivu
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestCullen – Parise – Coyle9:17
xG 0.41–0.20 (67%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Winnik – Coyle – Eriksson Ek2:17
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Winnik – Stewart – Eriksson Ek7:09
xG 0.28–0.32 (46%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
- Staal – Ennis – Niederreiter10:28
xG 0.39–0.44 (47%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Seeler2:44
xG 0.16–0.10 (62%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Prosser – Reilly7:36
xG 0.12–0.19 (39%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Suter – Dumba19:15
xG 0.47–0.56 (46%)attempts 13–17goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier11:22
xG 0.44–0.15 (75%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Zajac – Coleman – Noesen10:32
xG 0.17–0.30 (37%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Wood – Zacha – Bratt7:30
xG 0.14–0.51 (22%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Vatanen11:51
xG 0.45–0.32 (58%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Moore – Severson9:02
xG 0.38–0.27 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher3:14
xG 0.08–0.02 (77%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).