Fri, Feb 23, 2018·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 015 | 010 | 118 | 143 |
| CHI | 011 | 113 | 212 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:46CHIJan RuttaAssists: Anthony Duclair, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P3 2:01CHINick SchmaltzGWGAssists: Anthony Duclair · Snap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 12:09SJSTimo MeierAssists: Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski · Slap, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 19:29CHIArtem AnisimovENAssists: Tomas Jurco, Jan Rutta · Wrist, 0.73 xG1–3
Penalties (3)
- P2 18:01SJSJoakim Ryan: Holding2 min
- P3 5:33CHIConnor Murphy: Interference2 min
- P3 6:05SJSBrent Burns: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pavelski won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHansen – Boedker – Tierney6:53
xG 0.83–0.21 (80%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Donskoi – Meier7:11
xG 0.28–0.15 (65%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Fehr – Goodrow – Karlsson5:57
xG 0.24–0.20 (54%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Pavelski – Karlsson – Meier2:22
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – DeMelo14:08
xG 0.55–0.45 (55%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Braun13:14
xG 0.35–0.47 (43%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
- Burns – Vlasic4:12
xG 0.12–0.30 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Wingels – Saad12:25
xG 0.92–0.33 (73%)attempts 20–12goals 0–1
- Hinostroza – Hartman – Kampf11:16
xG 0.44–0.38 (54%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Jurco13:48
xG 0.35–0.53 (40%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
- Duclair – Schmaltz – DeBrincat9:32
xG 0.36–0.81 (31%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Oesterle19:48
xG 1.49–0.94 (61%)attempts 23–24goals 0–1
- Seabrook – Murphy14:54
xG 0.68–0.77 (47%)attempts 17–21goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Rutta15:36
xG 0.47–0.59 (44%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).