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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 25, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York

Detroit Red Wings 3, New York Rangers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 79% of the time.

NYR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:20Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:16Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:37Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 5:07Shot by Gilmour, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 6:53Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 9:37Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 9:43Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 9:55Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:52Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 11:17Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  14. P1 12:05Desharnais: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Desharnais, Carey, Lettieri, Pionk · DET Kronwall, Booth, Ouellet, Glendening, Bertuzzi

  15. P1 12:17Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 13:05Larkin: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Zuccarello, O'Gara, Zibanejad · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  17. P1 13:11Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard4v4
  18. P1 14:03Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard4v4
  19. P1 14:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard4v4
  20. P1 15:12Shot by Hayes, saved by Howard
  21. P1 15:14Shot by Hayes, saved by Howard
  22. P1 15:23Shot by Spooner, saved by Howard
  23. P1 15:32Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 18:08Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 18:14Shot by Carey, saved by Howard
  26. P1 18:39Shot by Lettieri, saved by Howard
  27. P1 19:53Goal by Athanasiou (Jensen, Larkin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zuccarello, O'Gara, Zibanejad, DeAngelo · DET Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:03Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 1:06Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 1:36Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 1:40Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 2:29Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 2:45Shot by Carey, saved by Howard
  36. P2 3:17Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 3:51Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 4:19Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  39. P2 4:31Goal by Helm, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zuccarello, Miller, Skjei, Vesey, Gilmour · DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm

  40. P2 5:55Booth: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Staal, Spooner, Hayes, Fast, Zibanejad, Pionk · DET Kronwall, Booth, Ouellet, Glendening, Bertuzzi

  41. P2 7:51Goal by Miller (Spooner, DeAngelo)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Spooner, Hayes, Miller, Vesey, DeAngelo · DET Daley, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Glendening

  42. P2 10:23Shot by Jensen, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 10:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  44. P2 12:16Shot by O'Gara, saved by Howard
  45. P2 12:32Fast: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fast, O'Gara, DeAngelo · DET Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin

  46. P2 14:14Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  47. P2 14:39Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 15:15Gilmour: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Miller, Skjei, Vesey, Gilmour · DET Nielsen, Helm, Jensen, Glendening, DeKeyser

  49. P2 18:20Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  50. P2 18:44Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:21Shot by Jensen, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 0:43Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  55. P3 0:59Shot by Gilmour, saved by Howard
  56. P3 3:21Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 4:06Shot by Miller, saved by Howard
  58. P3 5:21Shot by Spooner, saved by Howard
  59. P3 8:13Shot by Booth, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 8:36Shot by Skjei, saved by Howard
  61. P3 8:37Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  62. P3 8:38Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  63. P3 8:39Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  64. P3 9:01Shot by Hayes, saved by Howard
  65. P3 11:15Shot by Hayes, saved by Howard
  66. P3 11:16Goal by Fast (Hayes, Spooner)+36 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Spooner, Hayes, Fast, Pionk · DET Tatar, Jensen, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Larkin

  67. P3 12:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 12:45Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Howard
  69. P3 12:56Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 13:27Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  71. P3 14:17Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  72. P3 15:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 16:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  74. P3 16:14Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Howard
  75. P3 16:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 16:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 17:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  78. P3 17:45Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  79. P3 18:19Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Howard
  80. P3 19:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  81. P3 19:34Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. OT 0:00Period start
  84. OT 4:54Goal by Daley (Nielsen, Tatar)3v3+57 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Skjei, Buchnevich · DET Daley, Nielsen, Tatar

  85. OT 4:54Period end3v3
  86. OT 4:54Final3v3