Sun, Feb 25, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
Edmonton Oilers 6, Anaheim Ducks 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 212 | 117 | 26 | 07 | 2 | 642 |
| ANA | 113 | 111 | 320 | 02 | 1 | 546 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:13EDMLeon DraisaitlAssists: Michael Cammalleri · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 1:46ANARickard RakellAssists: Cam Fowler, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 12:55EDMAnton SlepyshevAssists: Connor McDavid, Michael Cammalleri · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 1:22ANAAdam HenriquePPAssists: Brandon Montour, Ryan Getzlaf · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 8:02EDMRyan StromeAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Al Montoya · Backhand, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 2:31EDMRyan StromeAssists: Jesse Puljujarvi, Connor McDavid · Tip-in, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 14:00ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Corey Perry, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.07 xG4–3
- P3 15:40EDMIiro PakarinenAssists: Connor McDavid, Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.15 xG5–3
- P3 19:39ANARickard RakellAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–4
- P3 19:53ANARickard RakellAssists: Corey Perry, Derek Grant · Tip-in, 0.25 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. ANA Rickard Rakell scored
- 2. EDM Michael Cammalleri stopped
- 3. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 4. EDM Leon Draisaitl scored
- 5. ANA Ondrej Kase stopped
- 6. EDM Connor McDavid scored
Penalties (5)
- P2 0:10EDMAdam Larsson: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 12:53EDMDarnell Nurse: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:17ANAHampus Lindholm: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:10ANAAndrew Cogliano: Interference2 min
- P3 16:20EDMDrake Caggiula: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestLucic – Slepyshev – McDavid14:27
xG 0.86–0.47 (65%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- Pakarinen – Khaira – Caggiula9:15
xG 0.15–0.30 (34%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Kassian – Strome – Puljujarvi4:42
xG 0.08–0.24 (24%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Cammalleri – Rattie – Draisaitl11:31
xG 0.31–0.51 (38%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlefbom – Benning14:06
xG 0.75–0.36 (68%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Larsson – Nurse16:49
xG 0.65–0.86 (43%)attempts 14–20goals 3–0
- Sekera – Auvitu13:46
xG 0.35–0.58 (38%)attempts 11–12goals 0–2
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Rakell – Kase4:05
xG 0.31–0.03 (92%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Henrique – Ritchie – Kase6:00
xG 0.30–0.18 (63%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Perry – Henrique – Ritchie3:16
xG 0.23–0.20 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
- Grant – Wagner – Brown6:42
xG 0.22–0.22 (51%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Pettersson11:22
xG 0.72–0.29 (72%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Fowler – Montour16:55
xG 0.87–0.66 (57%)attempts 19–11goals 1–2
- Bieksa – Lindholm10:29
xG 0.35–0.55 (39%)attempts 5–11goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).