Mon, Feb 26, 2018·Centre Bell, Montreal
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Montréal Canadiens 0 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 08 | 010 | 05 | 2 | 133 |
| MTL | 03 | 015 | 04 | 06 | 1 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. MTL Alex Galchenyuk stopped
- 2. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 3. MTL Paul Byron scored
- 4. PHI Nolan Patrick stopped
- 5. MTL Jonathan Drouin stopped
- 6. PHI Jakub Voracek scored
- 7. MTL Artturi Lehkonen stopped
- 8. PHI Jordan Weal stopped
- 9. MTL Charles Hudon stopped
- 10. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
- 11. MTL David Schlemko stopped
- 12. PHI Sean Couturier scored
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:31PHIShayne Gostisbehere: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:31MTLMax Pacioretty: Tripping2 min
- P1 0:31MTLMax Pacioretty: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:33MTLJacob de la Rose: Interference2 min
- P2 14:35PHIIvan Provorov: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:35MTLJonathan Drouin: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:41PHIClaude Giroux: Roughing2 min
- OT 4:41MTLPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Drouin won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny14:05
xG 0.54–0.13 (80%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Weal – Laughton – Raffl7:56
xG 0.10–0.03 (77%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Weise – Laughton – Raffl2:00
xG 0.04–0.06 (43%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Voracek – Lindblom – Patrick11:44
xG 0.40–0.68 (37%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Gudas14:44
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- MacDonald – Hagg16:21
xG 0.50–0.35 (59%)attempts 12–17goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov17:01
xG 0.57–0.64 (47%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestByron – Gallagher – de la Rose10:59
xG 0.58–0.25 (70%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Danault – Galchenyuk – Hudon11:32
xG 0.55–0.44 (56%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Shaw – Carr9:29
xG 0.13–0.30 (30%)attempts 3–16goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Lehkonen – Drouin11:49
xG 0.10–0.41 (20%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Benn13:41
xG 0.62–0.52 (54%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Petry – Mete15:43
xG 0.51–0.44 (54%)attempts 13–20goals 0–0
- Schlemko – Mete2:33
xG 0.03–0.08 (30%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).