Sat, Mar 3, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Chicago Blackhawks 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 08 | 410 | 525 |
| LAK | 011 | 314 | 07 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:11CHIJordan OesterleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 4:27LAKTanner PearsonUnassisted · Slap, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 6:21LAKAlec MartinezAssists: Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 17:48LAKAlex IafalloUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 10:48CHIArtem AnisimovPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–3
- P3 14:24CHIVinnie HinostrozaUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
- P3 18:02CHIJonathan ToewsPPGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–3
- P3 19:57CHIPatrick KaneENAssists: Brandon Saad, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.70 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P2 0:14LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 7:57CHIAlex DeBrincat: Interference2 min
- P2 18:50CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:54LAKJake Muzzin: Holding2 min
- P3 8:32LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:32LAKDrew Doughty: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 17:25LAKTanner Pearson: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Kane – Saad14:22
xG 0.76–0.56 (58%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Sharp – Highmore – Kampf10:29
xG 0.20–0.18 (53%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Anisimov – Jurco – Duclair8:52
xG 0.11–0.22 (34%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Hinostroza – Schmaltz – DeBrincat9:05
xG 0.26–0.50 (34%)attempts 10–9goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Gustafsson13:27
xG 0.27–0.17 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Dahlstrom – Oesterle12:18
xG 0.47–0.41 (54%)attempts 14–12goals 2–0
- Seabrook – Dahlstrom2:19
xG 0.04–0.02 (71%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo10:59
xG 0.81–0.52 (61%)attempts 16–12goals 2–0
- Mitchell – Clifford – Amadio10:23
xG 0.11–0.09 (55%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Pearson9:43
xG 0.29–0.35 (45%)attempts 4–13goals 1–1
- Thompson – Rieder – Kempe9:26
xG 0.31–0.39 (44%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Folin11:06
xG 0.40–0.23 (63%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Phaneuf – Martinez13:10
xG 0.56–0.54 (51%)attempts 9–20goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Doughty2:29
xG 0.03–0.06 (36%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).