Sun, Mar 4, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Anaheim Ducks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 010 | 118 | 212 | 340 |
| ANA | 211 | 212 | 28 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:23ANARickard RakellPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Brandon Montour · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 6:14ANACorey PerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Josh Manson · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 2:09ANAMarcus PetterssonAssists: Kevin Bieksa, Derek Grant · Slap, 0.06 xG0–3
- P2 6:39ANAJakob SilfverbergGWGAssists: Andrew Cogliano, Derek Grant · Snap, 0.08 xG0–4
- P2 14:59CHITomas JurcoAssists: Connor Murphy, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.17 xG1–4
- P3 1:07CHINick SchmaltzAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 7:00ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Andrew Cogliano, Ryan Kesler · Backhand, 0.22 xG2–5
- P3 14:41ANACorey PerryAssists: Cam Fowler, Ryan Getzlaf · Tip-in, 0.21 xG2–6
- P3 17:32CHINick SchmaltzAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Vinnie Hinostroza · Snap, 0.19 xG3–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 1:54CHIAnthony Duclair: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 8:59ANANick Ritchie: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:52ANABrandon Montour: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:08CHIJonathan Toews: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:08ANARyan Kesler: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:34CHIPatrick Sharp: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHinostroza – Schmaltz – DeBrincat11:57
xG 1.27–0.44 (74%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Sharp – Highmore – Kampf9:39
xG 0.74–0.37 (67%)attempts 15–4goals 0–1
- Anisimov – Jurco – Duclair10:44
xG 0.50–0.66 (43%)attempts 17–10goals 0–2
- Toews – Kane – Saad14:16
xG 0.66–1.60 (29%)attempts 15–22goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Dahlstrom7:29
xG 0.67–0.48 (59%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
- Keith – Murphy14:52
xG 0.99–0.86 (54%)attempts 20–13goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Oesterle7:52
xG 0.87–0.88 (50%)attempts 17–7goals 0–2
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg11:16
xG 1.06–0.57 (65%)attempts 16–14goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Rakell12:48
xG 0.99–1.17 (46%)attempts 13–20goals 2–1
- Henrique – Ritchie – Kase10:35
xG 0.41–0.66 (38%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Chimera – Kelly – Grant9:18
xG 0.28–0.62 (31%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Pettersson13:02
xG 0.83–0.39 (68%)attempts 10–14goals 2–0
- Manson – Lindholm14:18
xG 1.39–1.46 (49%)attempts 21–24goals 1–2
- Bieksa – Lindholm2:07
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).