Sat, Mar 17, 2018·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
New York Rangers 3, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 02 | 311 | 06 | 01 | 320 |
| STL | 116 | 16 | 110 | 11 | 433 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:49STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: Tage Thompson, Vladimir Sobotka · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 0:42NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Jesper Fast, Chris Kreider · Deflected, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 2:24STLNikita SoshnikovAssists: Chris Thorburn, Carl Gunnarsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 12:07NYRMats ZuccarelloAssists: Neal Pionk, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 14:34NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P3 5:15STLAlex PietrangeloPPAssists: Vince Dunn, Jaden Schwartz · Slap, 0.01 xG3–3
- OT 1:02STLBrayden SchennGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Vladimir Sobotka · Snap, 0.12 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:11STLChris Thorburn: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:11NYRCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:22NYRNeal Pionk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:36NYRJohn Gilmour: Holding2 min
- P2 13:11STLChris Thorburn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:16STLPatrik Berglund: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 3:38NYRPaul Carey: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Schenn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Fast – Zibanejad12:47
xG 0.39–0.19 (67%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- McLeod – Desharnais – Carey3:41
xG 0.08–0.04 (66%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Vesey – Buchnevich9:27
xG 0.14–0.15 (48%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Spooner – Hayes13:52
xG 0.26–0.83 (24%)attempts 6–18goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Pionk16:28
xG 0.52–0.29 (64%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
- O'Gara – Gilmour12:39
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Sproul – Skjei18:40
xG 0.08–0.98 (8%)attempts 8–23goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSobotka – Jaskin – Thompson5:38
xG 0.56–0.07 (89%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Thorburn – Barbashev – Soshnikov5:05
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Schenn – Tarasenko – Schwartz4:59
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Brodziak – Sobotka – Barbashev2:07
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Dunn13:56
xG 0.38–0.10 (80%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson12:15
xG 0.31–0.09 (77%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Gunnarsson – Pietrangelo15:47
xG 0.70–0.49 (59%)attempts 15–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).