Sat, Mar 17, 2018·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 5, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 28 | 111 | 211 | 530 |
| VAN | 19 | 212 | 010 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:48VANNikolay GoldobinPPAssists: Derrick Pouliot, Reid Boucher · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 14:58SJSKevin LabancPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Logan Couture · Wrist, 0.36 xG1–1
- P1 16:08SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Tomas Hertl, Mikkel Boedker · Snap, 0.18 xG2–1
- P2 1:47SJSBrenden DillonAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Timo Meier · Slap, 0.01 xG3–1
- P2 5:23VANBo HorvatPPAssists: Sam Gagner, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.18 xG3–2
- P2 11:48VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Sam Gagner, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.03 xG3–3
- P3 6:07SJSTimo MeierGWGAssists: Kevin Labanc, Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–3
- P3 19:35SJSTomas HertlENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.67 xG5–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:16VANTyler Motte: Hooking2 min
- P1 8:50SJSEvander Kane: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 11:06VANJake Virtanen: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:47VANDerrick Pouliot: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:18VANBrendan Leipsic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:16SJSTimo Meier: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:37SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:21SJSPaul Martin: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hansen – Kane10:07
xG 0.45–0.02 (96%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Tierney – Labanc – Meier9:51
xG 0.35–0.12 (74%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Fehr – Kane – Goodrow3:42
xG 0.16–0.17 (49%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Fehr – Goodrow – Meier2:51
xG 0.04–0.08 (34%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – DeMelo8:48
xG 0.39–0.08 (83%)attempts 10–2goals 2–0
- Braun – Dillon7:41
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Martin – Burns7:07
xG 0.25–0.20 (56%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestLeipsic – Horvat – Goldobin10:54
xG 0.68–0.14 (82%)attempts 19–4goals 0–1
- Leipsic – Horvat – Virtanen2:08
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Dowd – Boucher – Motte2:04
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Sutter – Archibald – Motte6:09
xG 0.09–0.18 (33%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBiega – Pouliot12:04
xG 0.45–0.15 (75%)attempts 16–6goals 0–1
- Edler – Biega2:08
xG 0.00–0.14 (2%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev13:07
xG 0.29–0.47 (38%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).