Sun, Mar 18, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
New Jersey Devils 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 06 | 17 | 14 | 217 |
| ANA | 217 | 07 | 212 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:14ANARyan GetzlafUnassisted · Snap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 6:37ANAJakob SilfverbergAssists: Josh Manson, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 10:31NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Travis Zajac, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 7:55ANABrandon MontourPPGWGAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Rickard Rakell · Slap, 0.16 xG1–3
- P3 10:05NJDPatrick MaroonAssists: Sami Vatanen, Stefan Noesen · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 10:51ANARickard RakellAssists: Cam Fowler, Marcus Pettersson · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:32ANAOndrej Kase: Interference2 min
- P1 19:25ANAAdam Henrique: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:52ANABrandon Montour: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:57ANACorey Perry: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 12:30NJDSami Vatanen: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:29NJDJohn Moore: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:51ANARyan Getzlaf: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:51NJDPatrick Maroon: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Palmieri – Hall11:56
xG 0.77–0.42 (64%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Boyle – Stafford – Wood3:37
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Maroon – Coleman – Noesen10:13
xG 0.14–0.26 (36%)attempts 3–8goals 1–1
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier2:02
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lovejoy – Butcher8:32
xG 0.08–0.27 (22%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Severson – Butcher3:36
xG 0.02–0.38 (5%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson11:41
xG 0.23–0.63 (27%)attempts 4–16goals 0–2
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Ritchie – Kase11:10
xG 0.90–0.00 (100%)attempts 17–0goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Rakell14:48
xG 1.00–0.38 (72%)attempts 19–7goals 2–1
- Chimera – Kelly – Grant5:13
xG 0.16–0.13 (54%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg12:16
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Montour10:52
xG 0.94–0.06 (94%)attempts 17–4goals 1–0
- Manson – Lindholm3:46
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Pettersson5:06
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).