Mon, Mar 19, 2018·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Boston Bruins 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 15 | 110 | 27 | 13 | 525 |
| BOS | 014 | 313 | 110 | 01 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:15CBJBoone JennerAssists: Thomas Vanek · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 5:41BOSRyan DonatoAssists: Torey Krug, Danton Heinen · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 7:28BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak, Kevan Miller · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 16:32BOSRiley NashPPAssists: Ryan Donato, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P2 16:57CBJSonny MilanoAssists: Ryan Murray, Nick Foligno · Deflected, 0.06 xG2–3
- P3 5:38CBJThomas VanekAssists: Markus Nutivaara, Boone Jenner · Deflected, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 11:30CBJArtemi PanarinAssists: Nick Foligno · Slap, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 11:50BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Ryan Donato, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–4
- OT 2:55CBJCam AtkinsonGWGAssists: Ryan Murray, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.16 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:27BOSKevan Miller: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:24CBJJack Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:43BOSKevan Miller: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 18:07CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:56CBJIan Cole: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:50CBJIan Cole: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nash won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Milano – Dubois4:08
xG 0.19–0.12 (62%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Foligno – Bjorkstrand – Milano4:53
xG 0.14–0.19 (43%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Foligno – Atkinson – Panarin5:42
xG 0.12–0.39 (23%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Atkinson – Panarin – Dubois6:57
xG 0.09–0.38 (20%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Johnson – Nutivaara5:28
xG 0.15–0.15 (50%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Cole – Savard14:12
xG 0.32–0.42 (43%)attempts 7–13goals 1–0
- Murray – Nutivaara5:11
xG 0.05–0.19 (20%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Nash – Pastrnak13:00
xG 0.65–0.09 (88%)attempts 16–5goals 1–0
- Wingels – Kuraly – Schaller8:44
xG 0.60–0.22 (73%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Krejci – Donato – Heinen12:18
xG 0.39–0.28 (58%)attempts 10–6goals 2–2
- Gionta – Blidh – Acciari8:04
xG 0.02–0.09 (19%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk15:42
xG 1.01–0.20 (83%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- McQuaid – Holden7:29
xG 0.36–0.09 (81%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Krug – Carlo14:10
xG 0.56–0.30 (65%)attempts 14–5goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).