Tue, Mar 20, 2018·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New Jersey Devils 2, San Jose Sharks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 112 | 09 | 17 | 228 |
| SJS | 39 | 37 | 09 | 625 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:32SJSEric FehrAssists: Paul Martin, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 11:19NJDTaylor HallAssists: Drew Stafford · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 12:25SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Kevin Labanc, Brent Burns · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–2
- P1 15:14SJSJannik HansenGWGAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 10:38SJSBarclay GoodrowAssists: Brenden Dillon · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–4
- P2 11:18SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Brenden Dillon · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–5
- P2 18:20SJSMikkel BoedkerPPAssists: Brent Burns, Chris Tierney · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–6
- P3 18:24NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Patrick Maroon, Drew Stafford · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:04SJSDylan DeMelo: Interference2 min
- P1 6:44SJSMelker Karlsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:40NJDBrian Boyle: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 13:44SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:35NJDTaylor Hall: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 10:08SJSDylan DeMelo: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- Maroon – Coleman – Noesen8:04
xG 0.44–0.42 (51%)attempts 14–8goals 0–2
- Boyle – Stafford – Bratt9:48
xG 0.28–0.58 (33%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Zajac – Grabner – Gibbons10:54
xG 0.09–0.43 (17%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- Palmieri – Hall – Hischier11:44
xG 0.23–0.73 (24%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lovejoy – Butcher12:03
xG 0.41–0.43 (49%)attempts 16–13goals 0–1
- Moore – Severson16:39
xG 0.70–0.79 (47%)attempts 21–19goals 2–2
- Greene – Vatanen16:15
xG 0.38–1.11 (25%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Kane – Karlsson11:38
xG 0.96–0.24 (80%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Fehr – Hansen – Goodrow8:47
xG 0.66–0.26 (72%)attempts 11–8goals 3–0
- Couture – Boedker – Hertl10:27
xG 0.24–0.35 (41%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Tierney – Labanc – Meier10:39
xG 0.29–0.55 (34%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – DeMelo16:53
xG 1.06–0.68 (61%)attempts 20–20goals 3–1
- Vlasic – Braun14:42
xG 0.76–0.40 (66%)attempts 15–13goals 0–1
- Martin – Burns13:32
xG 0.42–0.54 (44%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).