Thu, Mar 22, 2018·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 5, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 210 | 212 | 15 | 527 |
| CHI | 113 | 012 | 116 | 241 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:11VANAlexander EdlerAssists: Brendan Leipsic, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 8:02CHINick SchmaltzAssists: Brent Seabrook, Patrick Kane · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–1
- P1 17:42VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Sam Gagner · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–1
- P2 6:59VANBo HorvatGWGAssists: Nikolay Goldobin, Troy Stecher · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–1
- P2 9:38VANAlexander EdlerAssists: Bo Horvat, Nikolay Goldobin · Slap, 0.02 xG4–1
- P3 3:24VANBrandon SutterAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Darren Archibald · Deflected, 0.11 xG5–1
- P3 16:27CHIMatthew HighmoreAssists: Brandon Saad · Tip-in, 0.11 xG5–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 10:49VANNikolay Goldobin: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:06CHIAndreas Martinsen: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:32CHIAndreas Martinsen: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:32VANDerrick Pouliot: Instigator2 min
- P2 2:32VANDerrick Pouliot: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:32VANDerrick Pouliot: Misconduct10 min
- P2 9:58VANTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:52VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSutter – Archibald – Motte3:17
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Horvat – Virtanen – Goldobin9:29
xG 0.45–0.59 (43%)attempts 9–14goals 2–1
- Dowd – Archibald – Motte5:17
xG 0.23–0.42 (35%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Sutter – Leipsic8:49
xG 0.34–0.60 (36%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher2:25
xG 0.13–0.02 (88%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Biega – Pouliot11:07
xG 0.65–0.56 (54%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Tanev2:27
xG 0.13–0.11 (55%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestSaad – Hinostroza – Highmore10:16
xG 0.92–0.21 (81%)attempts 17–7goals 1–1
- Sharp – Kane – Schmaltz11:23
xG 0.70–0.35 (67%)attempts 12–9goals 1–2
- Hayden – Martinsen – Kampf5:50
xG 0.21–0.02 (91%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Jurco – DeBrincat7:37
xG 0.38–0.64 (37%)attempts 6–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook16:09
xG 0.96–0.47 (67%)attempts 22–6goals 1–1
- Murphy – Oesterle15:24
xG 0.88–0.45 (66%)attempts 19–13goals 1–1
- Gustafsson – Rutta12:56
xG 0.67–0.71 (49%)attempts 11–13goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).