Sun, Mar 25, 2018·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vancouver Canucks 4, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 111 | 18 | 28 | 427 |
| DAL | 111 | 011 | 09 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:54DALMattias JanmarkSHAssists: Devin Shore · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 17:24VANReid BoucherPPAssists: Jussi Jokinen, Derrick Pouliot · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 14:43VANNic DowdPPGWGAssists: Troy Stecher, Jussi Jokinen · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 10:28VANJake VirtanenAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Reid Boucher · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
- P3 19:19VANTyler MotteENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.72 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:07VANNikolay Goldobin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 4:14DALEsa Lindell: Interference2 min
- P1 15:47DALStephen Johns: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:44DALTyler Seguin: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:44DALTyler Seguin: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:46DALCurtis McKenzie: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:09VANTyler Motte: Delaying game2 min
- P3 13:02VANMichael Del Zotto: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:35DALJohn Klingberg: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Seguin won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Sutter – Archibald – Motte8:11
xG 0.15–0.20 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Dowd – Boucher – Virtanen4:14
xG 0.01–0.07 (15%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
- Jokinen – Horvat – Goldobin9:09
xG 0.34–0.53 (39%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Gagner9:34
xG 0.19–0.66 (22%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Biega – Sautner12:32
xG 0.09–0.29 (24%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
- Edler – Stecher14:43
xG 0.22–0.61 (27%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Pouliot12:42
xG 0.40–1.03 (28%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – Pitlick – Faksa8:16
xG 0.33–0.02 (93%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Radulov – Benn – Seguin12:34
xG 0.66–0.38 (63%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
- Ritchie – Shore – Janmark7:44
xG 0.22–0.09 (70%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- McKenzie – Dickinson – Elie4:16
xG 0.05–0.08 (39%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlingberg – Lindell16:27
xG 1.05–0.26 (80%)attempts 22–10goals 0–0
- Methot – Johns9:21
xG 0.31–0.23 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Pateryn10:47
xG 0.16–0.12 (58%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).