Tue, Mar 27, 2018·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Boston Bruins 4, Winnipeg Jets 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 011 | 39 | 03 | 1 | 432 |
| WPG | 19 | 212 | 17 | 04 | 2 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:33WPGBrandon TanevAssists: Andrew Copp, Adam Lowry · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 19:07BOSRyan DonatoUnassisted · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 0:16WPGBrandon TanevAssists: Adam Lowry · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 6:25WPGJoe MorrowAssists: Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 1:45BOSDanton HeinenPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 3:36BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Torey Krug, Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.28 xG3–3
- P3 4:29WPGBrandon TanevSHUnassisted · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG3–4
- P3 8:06BOSTorey KrugPPAssists: Brad Marchand · Slap, 0.04 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. WPG Bryan Little stopped
- 2. BOS Ryan Donato scored
- 3. WPG Mark Scheifele scored
- 4. BOS David Pastrnak stopped
- 5. WPG Blake Wheeler stopped
- 6. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
- 7. WPG Patrik Laine scored
- 8. BOS Danton Heinen stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 12:11WPGBen Chiarot: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:00WPGJosh Morrissey: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P3 1:45WPGMathieu Perreault: Delaying game bench2 min
- P3 6:45WPGMark Scheifele: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:20BOSKevan Miller: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lowry won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Wingels3:59
xG 0.34–0.04 (89%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Krejci – Wingels – Donato5:42
xG 0.28–0.10 (75%)attempts 8–3goals 1–1
- Krejci – Pastrnak – Donato5:05
xG 0.27–0.10 (72%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Schaller – Acciari9:54
xG 0.16–0.23 (41%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Grzelcyk8:25
xG 0.61–0.18 (77%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug4:17
xG 0.43–0.24 (64%)attempts 4–5goals 1–1
- McQuaid – Grzelcyk2:29
xG 0.21–0.11 (65%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLittle – Perreault – Armia10:17
xG 0.33–0.27 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev9:41
xG 0.44–0.39 (53%)attempts 7–7goals 2–0
- Wheeler – Scheifele – Connor11:55
xG 0.40–0.41 (49%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Stastny – Ehlers – Laine11:16
xG 0.22–0.34 (40%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Morrow13:04
xG 0.92–0.47 (66%)attempts 19–10goals 1–1
- Myers – Morrissey11:12
xG 0.31–0.30 (50%)attempts 5–12goals 2–0
- Byfuglien – Morrissey3:50
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).