Sun, Apr 1, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Boston Bruins 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 012 | 117 | 210 | 00 | 339 |
| PHI | 17 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:38PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Travis Konecny, Ivan Provorov · Snap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 0:25PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 14:25BOSNoel AcciariAssists: David Backes, Danton Heinen · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 5:31PHINolan PatrickAssists: Oskar Lindblom, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 6:54BOSDavid PastrnakPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 19:56BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Backes · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–3
- OT 3:39PHIClaude GirouxGWGAssists: Jakub Voracek · Backhand, 0.21 xG3–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 2:01PHITravis Sanheim: Interference2 min
- P2 9:13BOSTorey Krug: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:26PHIValtteri Filppula: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:07BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:59PHIOskar Lindblom: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Giroux
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKrejci – Donato – DeBrusk11:19
xG 0.88–0.10 (90%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak12:56
xG 0.65–0.55 (54%)attempts 16–8goals 0–2
- Backes – Krejci – Heinen2:01
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Gionta – Schaller – Acciari2:44
xG 0.05–0.17 (25%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Holden16:30
xG 1.16–0.38 (75%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Grzelcyk2:08
xG 0.02–0.01 (63%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug6:23
xG 0.12–0.21 (36%)attempts 4–4goals 1–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLehtera – Read – Laughton8:27
xG 0.54–0.08 (88%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Giroux – Couturier – Konecny11:30
xG 0.36–0.08 (81%)attempts 8–8goals 2–0
- Filppula – Simmonds – Weal10:45
xG 0.24–0.17 (59%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Voracek – Lindblom – Patrick9:05
xG 0.22–0.69 (25%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Manning – Gudas13:04
xG 0.42–0.38 (52%)attempts 12–6goals 1–1
- MacDonald – Sanheim15:48
xG 0.76–0.83 (48%)attempts 15–23goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Provorov15:14
xG 0.33–0.56 (37%)attempts 11–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).