Tue, Apr 3, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 2, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 07 | 110 | 224 |
| NJD | 312 | 220 | 012 | 544 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:25NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Blake Coleman · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 3:41NJDTaylor HallPPUnassisted · Snap, 0.16 xG0–2
- P1 10:40NJDWill ButcherPPGWGAssists: Kyle Palmieri, Taylor Hall · Slap, 0.06 xG0–3
- P1 17:47NYRRyan SpoonerAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Filip Chytil · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–3
- P2 6:53NJDWill ButcherPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Travis Zajac · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
- P2 15:45NJDTaylor HallUnassisted · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–5
- P3 14:26NYRKevin HayesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:14NYRChris Kreider: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 9:30NYRJohn Gilmour: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 11:04NYRVladislav Namestnikov: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:16NJDJohn Moore: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:36NYRRyan Sproul: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:23NJDBrian Gibbons: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:45NYRBrady Skjei: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 11:05NJDBrian Boyle: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:05NYRJimmy Vesey: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestSpooner – Vesey – Chytil6:52
xG 0.32–0.14 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Spooner – Buchnevich – Chytil3:48
xG 0.05–0.04 (56%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Carey – Holland – Andersson4:05
xG 0.10–0.10 (51%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Hayes – Vesey3:23
xG 0.16–0.16 (50%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Sproul – Gilmour12:18
xG 0.51–0.60 (46%)attempts 16–14goals 2–0
- Staal – Pionk16:08
xG 0.33–0.61 (35%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- O'Gara – Skjei17:55
xG 0.44–0.87 (34%)attempts 13–26goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier10:47
xG 0.61–0.18 (77%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Maroon – Wood – Zacha5:27
xG 0.56–0.17 (77%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Zajac – Coleman – Noesen12:29
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Boyle – Gibbons – Wood3:02
xG 0.18–0.04 (82%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Mueller15:04
xG 0.78–0.33 (70%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher13:42
xG 0.75–0.43 (63%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
- Greene – Vatanen14:54
xG 0.64–0.36 (64%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).