Thu, Apr 5, 2018·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 218 | 010 | 214 | 11 | 543 |
| CBJ | 210 | 111 | 18 | 01 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:11CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Artemi Panarin · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 10:26PITPhil KesselPPAssists: Justin Schultz, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 12:39CBJMatt CalvertAssists: Jack Johnson · Backhand, 0.05 xG1–2
- P1 15:35PITPatric HornqvistAssists: Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.13 xG2–2
- P2 6:35CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Thomas Vanek, Sonny Milano · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–3
- P3 2:58PITKris LetangPPAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Patric Hornqvist · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 8:25CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.24 xG3–4
- P3 12:16PITConor ShearyAssists: Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–4
- OT 1:06PITPhil KesselGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:09PITPatric Hornqvist: Boarding2 min
- P1 9:50CBJSeth Jones: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:59PITJamie Oleksiak: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:01PITBryan Rust: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:16CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:36CBJCam Atkinson: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestMalkin – Hornqvist – Hagelin9:36
xG 1.02–0.15 (87%)attempts 19–2goals 1–0
- Kessel – Sheahan – Sheary8:08
xG 0.34–0.17 (67%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Crosby – Rust – Guentzel14:52
xG 0.41–0.34 (55%)attempts 17–7goals 0–1
- Malkin – Hornqvist – Kessel3:37
xG 0.06–0.12 (33%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Maatta11:35
xG 0.93–0.17 (85%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Letang – Maatta2:26
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Schultz – Oleksiak3:57
xG 0.22–0.11 (65%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestAtkinson – Panarin – Dubois16:15
xG 0.90–0.48 (65%)attempts 13–17goals 2–0
- Vanek – Jenner – Wennberg9:54
xG 0.35–0.29 (55%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Letestu – Bjorkstrand – Milano3:23
xG 0.02–0.06 (27%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Letestu – Calvert2:13
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Werenski14:30
xG 0.41–0.28 (60%)attempts 9–13goals 1–1
- Murray – Jones4:29
xG 0.23–0.22 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Murray11:19
xG 0.26–0.37 (41%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).