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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 7, 2018·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 0, Philadelphia Flyers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 84% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:32Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:50Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 4:01Shot by Vesey, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 6:27Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist6v5
  7. P1 6:34Goal by Provorov (Couturier, Voracek)6v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Provorov · NYR Kreider, O'Gara, Zibanejad, Gilmour, Chytil

  8. P1 6:32Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist6v5
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 6:49Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 7:10Shot by Andersson, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 8:55Shot by Pionk, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 10:15Shot by Andersson, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 10:41Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Manning, Gudas, Konecny · NYR Beleskey, Sproul, Namestnikov, Skjei, Buchnevich

  15. P1 10:41Beleskey: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Filppula, Simmonds, Manning, Gudas, Konecny · NYR Beleskey, Sproul, Namestnikov, Skjei, Buchnevich

  16. P1 11:03Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  17. P1 14:24Shot by Fogarty, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 16:20Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 16:36Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 17:53Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 19:25Shot by Lindblom, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 19:28Shot by Konecny, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:10Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 1:14Shot by MacDonald, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 2:49Shot by Manning, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 2:50Beleskey: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Manning, Gudas, Read, Laughton · NYR Staal, Beleskey, Namestnikov, Buchnevich, Pionk

  30. P2 4:20Shot by Sanheim, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  31. P2 4:37Shot by Sanheim, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  32. P2 6:10Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 7:47Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 9:15Shot by Hayes, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 10:00Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 10:20Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 10:33Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 11:11Shot by Gilmour, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 11:52Fogarty: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lehtera, Manning, Gudas, Read, Laughton · NYR Spooner, Hayes, Fogarty, Sproul, Skjei

  40. P2 12:24Goal by Giroux (Couturier, Gostisbehere)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Patrick · NYR Staal, Zuccarello, Hayes, Pionk

  41. P2 14:15Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 15:56Shot by Konecny, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 16:22Shot by Chytil, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 17:28Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 17:52Shot by Gudas, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 17:53Goal by Raffl (Gudas, Manning)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl · NYR Staal, Beleskey, Zuccarello, Namestnikov, Skjei

  47. P2 17:59Goal by Giroux (Raffl)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Provorov · NYR Kreider, Sproul, Zibanejad, Skjei, Chytil

  48. P2 18:25Shot by Hayes, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 18:46Shot by Gudas, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 19:03Shot by Patrick, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:27Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 3:03Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:18Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 3:33Shot by Staal, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 3:59Shot by Manning, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 4:12Shot by Sanheim, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 5:26Shot by Laughton, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 5:36Shot by Skjei, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 10:11Goal by Giroux (Sanheim)0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Couturier, Raffl, Sanheim · NYR Kreider, Sproul, Zibanejad, Gilmour, Chytil

  62. P3 10:50Shot by Lindblom, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 12:10Shot by Provorov, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 16:31Shot by Laughton, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 18:59Lindblom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Raffl, Sanheim, Lindblom, Patrick · NYR Zuccarello, Sproul, Vesey, Gilmour, Andersson

  66. P3 19:09Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Elliott4v5
  67. P3 19:48Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  68. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  69. P3 0:00Final4v5