Sat, Apr 7, 2018·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vancouver Canucks 2, Edmonton Oilers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 113 | 013 | 02 | 2 | 238 |
| EDM | 17 | 113 | 010 | 03 | 3 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:52EDMLeon DraisaitlPPAssists: Connor McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 17:47VANJussi JokinenAssists: Brendan Leipsic, Michael Del Zotto · Deflected, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 11:45VANTyler MotteAssists: Brandon Sutter, Darren Archibald · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 14:10EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsAssists: Connor McDavid, Darnell Nurse · Snap, 0.09 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stopped
- 2. VAN Daniel Sedin scored
- 3. EDM Connor McDavid scored
- 4. VAN Henrik Sedin stopped
- 5. EDM Michael Cammalleri scored
- 6. VAN Jussi Jokinen scored
- 7. EDM Leon Draisaitl scored
- 8. VAN Alexander Edler stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:29VANSam Gagner: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:52EDMRyan Strome: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:42EDMZack Kassian: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:46EDMDrake Caggiula: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:54VANSam Gagner: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:39EDMDrake Caggiula: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Gagner10:10
xG 0.86–0.45 (66%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Leipsic – Gaudette9:45
xG 0.63–0.46 (58%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Sutter – Archibald – Motte12:33
xG 0.32–0.62 (34%)attempts 8–15goals 1–0
- Horvat – Virtanen – Goldobin10:44
xG 0.34–0.70 (33%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Pouliot16:59
xG 0.91–0.63 (59%)attempts 24–11goals 1–0
- Edler – Stecher16:59
xG 0.58–1.16 (33%)attempts 11–23goals 0–0
- Biega – Hutton15:50
xG 0.52–1.38 (27%)attempts 14–18goals 0–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestRattie – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid13:21
xG 1.07–0.38 (74%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Kassian – Slepyshev10:47
xG 0.80–0.46 (63%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Lucic – Strome – Caggiula10:53
xG 0.70–0.37 (66%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Khaira – Draisaitl – Puljujarvi10:25
xG 0.26–0.61 (30%)attempts 5–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Nurse20:33
xG 1.86–1.21 (61%)attempts 19–17goals 0–1
- Lowe – Benning12:24
xG 0.46–0.39 (54%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Russell – Bear16:15
xG 0.66–0.63 (51%)attempts 17–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).