Thu, Oct 11, 2018·Prudential Center, Newark
Washington Capitals 0, New Jersey Devils 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 06 | 05 | 010 | 021 |
| NJD | 213 | 112 | 311 | 636 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:02NJDKyle PalmieriGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Damon Severson · Deflected, 0.28 xG0–1
- P1 18:33NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Will Butcher, Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 2:54NJDMarcus JohanssonAssists: Sami Vatanen, Mirco Mueller · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P3 5:49NJDBlake ColemanAssists: Ben Lovejoy · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–4
- P3 11:35NJDJean-Sebastien DeaAssists: Brian Boyle · Slap, 0.08 xG0–5
- P3 14:45NJDBrian BoyleAssists: Stefan Noesen · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG0–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:59WSHLars Eller: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:13NJDMiles Wood: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:13NJDDamon Severson: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:13WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:43WSHJohn Carlson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 0:47WSHJakub Vrana: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:22NJDStefan Noesen: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:00NJDStefan Noesen: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:12WSHJohn Carlson: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:52NJDDamon Severson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Backstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestEller – Connolly – Jaskin2:28
xG 0.17–0.08 (68%)attempts 4–1goals 0–1
- Dowd – Jaskin – Stephenson5:03
xG 0.17–0.13 (57%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Oshie – Backstrom – Vrana11:46
xG 0.50–0.63 (44%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Eller – Smith-Pelly – Burakovsky3:14
xG 0.00–0.62 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOrpik – Kempny4:00
xG 0.34–0.24 (58%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Orpik – Djoos5:57
xG 0.08–0.10 (46%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Carlson – Orlov2:23
xG 0.05–0.12 (31%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalmieri – Hall – Hischier10:09
xG 1.16–0.17 (87%)attempts 16–5goals 1–0
- Zajac – Wood – Quenneville8:24
xG 0.79–0.20 (80%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Johansson – Noesen – Zacha10:55
xG 0.78–0.27 (74%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Boyle – Coleman – Dea7:58
xG 0.47–0.29 (62%)attempts 8–7goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson13:50
xG 1.89–0.42 (82%)attempts 21–13goals 1–0
- Vatanen – Mueller16:36
xG 0.92–0.48 (66%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Butcher11:40
xG 0.62–0.39 (61%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).