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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 22, 2018·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:54Shot by Williams, saved by Howard
  3. P1 5:17Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  4. P1 5:21Shot by Zykov, saved by Howard
  5. P1 5:31Shot by Zykov, saved by Howard
  6. P1 5:41Shot by de Haan, saved by Howard
  7. P1 6:05Shot by Foegele, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:51Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:37Shot by Wallmark, saved by Howard
  10. P1 8:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  11. P1 8:33Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Vanek, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski · CAR Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Zykov, Bishop

  12. P1 8:52Shot by Williams, saved by Howard4v5
  13. P1 9:01Shot by Williams, saved by Howard4v5
  14. P1 10:47Shot by Teravainen, saved by Howard
  15. P1 10:52Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  16. P1 12:28Shot by Faulk, saved by Howard
  17. P1 13:30Shot by Cholowski, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 14:33Shot by Hicketts, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 15:00Shot by Glendening, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 15:34Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 16:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 16:17Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Howard
  23. P1 16:31Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Howard
  24. P1 17:00Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  25. P1 17:55Ericsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Nyquist, Jensen, Larkin · CAR Williams, Staal, de Haan, Faulk, Foegele

  26. P1 18:25Goal by Faulk (Williams)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Abdelkader, Glendening, Hicketts · CAR Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Zykov, Aho

  27. P1 18:46Shot by Slavin, saved by Howard
  28. P1 18:52Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  29. P1 19:35Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
  30. P1 19:54Shot by Ferland, saved by Howard
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:27Shot by Jensen, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 0:45Shot by Ferland, saved by Howard
  35. P2 1:06Shot by Ferland, saved by Howard
  36. P2 2:49Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  37. P2 3:10Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  38. P2 3:18Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  39. P2 4:19Shot by Aho, saved by Howard
  40. P2 4:37Shot by Faulk, saved by Howard
  41. P2 5:09Shot by Wallmark, saved by Howard
  42. P2 6:13Shot by Vanek, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 7:28Mantha: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Jensen, Mantha, Ehn · CAR Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Zykov, Bishop

  44. P2 7:19Shot by Hamilton, saved by Howard
  45. P2 8:05Goal by Ferland (Zykov, Aho)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Helm, Hicketts · CAR Williams, Faulk, Ferland, Zykov, Aho

  46. P2 9:04Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 10:04Shot by Ferland, saved by Howard
  48. P2 11:16Shot by Wallmark, saved by Howard
  49. P2 11:47Shot by Zykov, saved by Howard
  50. P2 13:35Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  51. P2 14:31Shot by Bishop, saved by Howard
  52. P2 15:14Svechnikov: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Jensen, Mantha, Larkin, Ehn · CAR Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  53. P2 15:45Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Mrazek5v4
  54. P2 18:01Shot by Cholowski, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 19:54Shot by Ehn, saved by Mrazek
  56. P2 19:55Williams: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Ehn, Cholowski, Rasmussen · CAR Williams, Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele

  57. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 3:04Shot by Helm, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 5:20Shot by Helm, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 8:16Shot by Foegele, saved by Howard
  62. P3 9:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  63. P3 12:02Goal by Athanasiou (Vanek, Nielsen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Nielsen, Vanek, Athanasiou, Cholowski · CAR Staal, Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Zykov

  64. P3 13:11Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 13:35Martinook: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Jensen, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Ehn, Rasmussen · CAR de Haan, Faulk, Martinook, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  66. P3 15:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Mrazek5v4
  67. P3 15:19Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Mrazek5v4
  68. P3 15:40Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Mrazek5v4
  69. P3 18:16Hamilton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Daley, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Cholowski · CAR Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov

  70. P3 19:16Goal by Martinook (Slavin)6v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Vanek, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Rasmussen · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce

  71. P3 19:40Shot by Nyquist, saved by Mrazek6v4
  72. P3 19:50Shot by Kronwall, saved by Mrazek6v4
  73. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  74. P3 0:00Final6v4