Wed, Oct 31, 2018·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 110 | 07 | 226 |
| VAN | 16 | 18 | 214 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:56CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Chris Kunitz, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 15:33VANJake VirtanenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 1:05CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Luke Johnson · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 12:24VANJake VirtanenAssists: Markus Granlund, Erik Gudbranson · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 9:23VANBrendan GaunceGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 16:33VANAntoine RousselAssists: Brendan Gaunce, Alex Biega · Deflected, 0.02 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:15VANAntoine Roussel: High sticking2 min
- P1 7:05CHIBrent Seabrook: Interference2 min
- P1 19:25VANMichael Del Zotto: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:20CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:56CHIErik Gustafsson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Anisimov – Saad10:49
xG 0.81–0.24 (77%)attempts 17–7goals 1–1
- Toews – DeBrincat – Kahun11:23
xG 0.30–0.27 (53%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Kruger – Hayden – Kampf6:44
xG 0.23–0.20 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Johnson – Schmaltz – Fortin8:20
xG 0.11–0.63 (15%)attempts 2–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Davidson11:24
xG 0.33–0.16 (67%)attempts 7–4goals 0–2
- Keith – Jokiharju16:15
xG 0.57–0.47 (55%)attempts 8–15goals 1–1
- Seabrook – Gustafsson15:29
xG 0.70–0.98 (41%)attempts 21–16goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Virtanen – Gaudette5:05
xG 0.40–0.17 (70%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Roussel – Gaunce – Motte2:23
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Roussel – Gaunce – Virtanen3:00
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Goldobin – Boeser – Pettersson6:43
xG 0.18–0.11 (62%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPouliot – Stecher12:04
xG 0.41–0.09 (81%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Biega – Hutton3:07
xG 0.35–0.10 (78%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Del Zotto – Gudbranson2:42
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).