Thu, Nov 1, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Rangers 3, Anaheim Ducks 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 07 | 210 | 04 | 03 | 2 | 324 |
| ANA | 07 | 111 | 111 | 01 | 0 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:42NYRKevin HayesPPAssists: Brett Howden, Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 12:31ANAJakob SilfverbergPPAssists: Rickard Rakell, Ryan Getzlaf · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 14:29NYRBrett HowdenAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Marc Staal · Snap, 0.25 xG2–1
- P3 19:34ANARickard RakellAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Cam Fowler · Slap, 0.05 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ANA Pontus Aberg stopped
- 2. NYR Mats Zuccarello scored
- 3. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 4. NYR Mika Zibanejad scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:52NYRChris Kreider: Boarding2 min
- P2 0:45ANAPontus Aberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:20ANAAndy Welinski: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:28NYRTony DeAngelo: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:21ANAHampus Lindholm: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:07NYRNeal Pionk: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Spooner – Hayes12:09
xG 0.65–0.37 (64%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Fast – Vesey – Howden9:46
xG 0.48–0.27 (64%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- McLeod – Lettieri – Chytil6:42
xG 0.19–0.15 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Zibanejad – Namestnikov11:20
xG 0.16–0.47 (25%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – DeAngelo14:49
xG 0.85–0.29 (75%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Smith13:37
xG 0.21–0.36 (37%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Staal – Pionk15:06
xG 0.41–0.57 (42%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Rakell – Aberg15:02
xG 0.84–0.15 (85%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- Street – Kossila – Sherwood8:28
xG 0.13–0.12 (51%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Eaves – Henrique – Lundeström8:08
xG 0.08–0.17 (31%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg8:53
xG 0.27–0.59 (31%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Larsson16:01
xG 0.90–0.78 (53%)attempts 19–14goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Montour8:56
xG 0.35–0.36 (49%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
- Welinski – Lindholm2:07
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).