Tue, Nov 6, 2018·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Anaheim Ducks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 08 | 113 | 010 | 131 |
| LAK | 27 | 110 | 110 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:25LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Ilya Kovalchuk, Jeff Carter · Tip-in, 0.27 xG0–1
- P1 13:22LAKKyle CliffordGWGAssists: Alec Martinez, Trevor Lewis · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–2
- P2 4:54LAKIlya KovalchukAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Jack Campbell · Snap, 0.14 xG0–3
- P2 13:21ANARyan KeslerAssists: Marcus Pettersson, Brandon Montour · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 17:54LAKTyler ToffoliENAssists: Ilya Kovalchuk, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.61 xG1–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 6:07ANAAndrew Cogliano: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:22LAKDion Phaneuf: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:11LAKAlex Iafallo: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:20LAKDerek Forbort: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:40LAKAdrian Kempe: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Cogliano – Sherwood5:36
xG 0.15–0.06 (71%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Gibbons3:27
xG 0.16–0.08 (67%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Sherwood8:02
xG 0.36–0.30 (54%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Carrick – Street – Aberg5:13
xG 0.11–0.10 (52%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Montour15:34
xG 0.70–0.41 (63%)attempts 20–11goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Montour2:22
xG 0.31–0.21 (60%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Larsson13:55
xG 0.24–0.46 (34%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestThompson – Lewis – Clifford9:10
xG 0.63–0.35 (64%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Kovalchuk – Carter – Toffoli11:26
xG 0.44–0.26 (63%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo13:38
xG 0.29–0.40 (42%)attempts 6–17goals 0–0
- Pearson – Kempe – Luff7:20
xG 0.31–0.43 (42%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort4:58
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Forbort – Fantenberg11:02
xG 0.47–0.26 (65%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Martinez18:31
xG 1.15–0.95 (55%)attempts 18–25goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).