Fri, Nov 9, 2018·Honda Center, Anaheim
Minnesota Wild 5, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 119 | 214 | 210 | 543 |
| ANA | 05 | 19 | 07 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:48MINJordan GreenwayAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Charlie Coyle · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 3:19MINJason ZuckerGWGAssists: Mikael Granlund, Jared Spurgeon · Snap, 0.17 xG2–0
- P2 7:17MINMikael GranlundAssists: Jason Zucker, Jonas Brodin · Snap, 0.22 xG3–0
- P2 16:53ANAPontus AbergPPAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Montour · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–1
- P3 10:06MINJonas BrodinAssists: Jared Spurgeon · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–1
- P3 16:03MINMikael GranlundAssists: Jason Zucker, Eric Staal · Backhand, 0.22 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:05ANAPatrick Eaves: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 11:48MINMarcus Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:48ANALuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:42ANANick Ritchie: Holding2 min
- P2 7:54MINMathew Dumba: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:38MINRyan Suter: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:51ANALuke Schenn: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Staal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestStaal – Zucker – Granlund12:09
xG 2.16–0.11 (95%)attempts 22–5goals 3–0
- Koivu – Parise – Niederreiter11:41
xG 0.49–0.14 (78%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Fehr – Foligno – Brown10:23
xG 0.47–0.33 (59%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Coyle – Greenway – Eriksson Ek10:59
xG 0.32–0.26 (55%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Dumba17:17
xG 1.70–0.33 (84%)attempts 20–12goals 0–0
- Spurgeon – Brodin12:29
xG 1.36–0.08 (95%)attempts 21–5goals 4–0
- Pateryn – Seeler13:33
xG 0.40–0.44 (48%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Aberg4:20
xG 0.14–0.13 (52%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Aberg – Ritchie3:07
xG 0.06–0.10 (37%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Eaves – Henrique – Ritchie2:27
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg9:09
xG 0.30–0.59 (34%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Larsson2:05
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Schenn – Lindholm3:18
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Schenn – Fowler2:45
xG 0.02–0.08 (17%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).