Mon, Nov 12, 2018·Madison Square Garden, New York
Vancouver Canucks 1, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 17 | 011 | 126 |
| NYR | 08 | 110 | 19 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:16VANNikolay GoldobinAssists: Tyler Motte, Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 12:42NYRFilip ChytilPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Neal Pionk · Snap, 0.37 xG1–1
- P3 11:19NYRBrett HowdenGWGAssists: Jimmy Vesey, Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:29VANAdam Gaudette: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:35NYRTony DeAngelo: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:08VANNikolay Goldobin: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:18NYRCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P2 4:18VANDarren Archibald: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:41VANBen Hutton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 10:20NYRFilip Chytil: Interference2 min
- P2 12:34VANLoui Eriksson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:44NYRMika Zibanejad: Interference2 min
- P2 16:57VANMarkus Granlund: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:23VANNikolay Goldobin: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:45NYRMika Zibanejad: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Schaller – Motte6:15
xG 0.36–0.01 (97%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Archibald – Leipsic – Gaudette5:16
xG 0.13–0.02 (86%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Roussel – Horvat9:37
xG 0.13–0.17 (44%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Virtanen – Goldobin – Pettersson8:37
xG 0.09–0.44 (17%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Stecher15:24
xG 0.48–0.10 (83%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton10:53
xG 0.40–0.29 (57%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Tanev – Pouliot14:35
xG 0.14–0.58 (19%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Namestnikov – Chytil6:12
xG 0.19–0.10 (65%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- McLeod – Spooner – Lettieri2:52
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Hayes – Andersson8:58
xG 0.24–0.22 (52%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Spooner – Zibanejad – Namestnikov3:52
xG 0.02–0.01 (62%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Claesson12:04
xG 0.24–0.08 (74%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Skjei – DeAngelo15:14
xG 0.42–0.49 (46%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
- Staal – Pionk11:03
xG 0.12–0.30 (29%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).