Tue, Nov 13, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
Vancouver Canucks 2, New York Islanders 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 111 | 05 | 224 |
| NYI | 312 | 05 | 217 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48VANBrendan LeipsicAssists: Bo Horvat, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 5:11NYITom KuhnhacklAssists: Leo Komarov, Valtteri Filppula · Backhand, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 5:56NYIJosh BaileyAssists: Mathew Barzal · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P1 14:50NYIJordan EberleGWGAssists: Brock Nelson, Andrew Ladd · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P2 2:51VANJake VirtanenPPAssists: Loui Eriksson, Brendan Leipsic · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–3
- P3 3:26NYITom KuhnhacklAssists: Jordan Eberle, Brock Nelson · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–4
- P3 17:06NYICal ClutterbuckPPAssists: Mathew Barzal, Johnny Boychuk · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 7:25VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min
- P1 18:04NYIAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:13NYIAnthony Beauvillier: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 8:44NYIBrock Nelson: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:19VANDerrick Pouliot: High sticking2 min
- P2 14:45NYILeo Komarov: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:26VANChris Tanev: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:35VANJake Virtanen: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 18:08NYIJohnny Boychuk: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:08NYICal Clutterbuck: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:08VANErik Gudbranson: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nelson won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Horvat – Virtanen2:09
xG 0.17–0.03 (87%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Roussel – Leipsic – Horvat2:39
xG 0.11–0.04 (73%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Roussel – Motte – Horvat2:11
xG 0.09–0.05 (67%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Leipsic – Schaller – Horvat4:47
xG 0.27–0.25 (52%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Del Zotto – Stecher11:35
xG 0.41–0.54 (43%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
- Tanev – Pouliot14:25
xG 0.70–1.07 (40%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Gudbranson – Hutton12:20
xG 0.26–0.95 (21%)attempts 6–17goals 0–2
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestBailey – Lee – Barzal9:35
xG 0.92–0.42 (69%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Filppula – Komarov – Kuhnhackl6:19
xG 0.31–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Eberle – Nelson – Kuhnhackl3:37
xG 0.26–0.08 (76%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Ladd – Eberle – Nelson7:40
xG 0.39–0.22 (64%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Pulock12:04
xG 1.19–0.13 (90%)attempts 18–5goals 3–0
- Boychuk – Sbisa10:12
xG 0.47–0.43 (52%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Hickey – Mayfield15:07
xG 0.52–0.62 (46%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).