Thu, Nov 15, 2018·Barclays Center, Brooklyn
New York Rangers 5, New York Islanders 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 214 | 114 | 213 | 541 |
| NYI | 211 | 36 | 27 | 724 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:00NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Neal Pionk, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–0
- P1 5:35NYRFredrik ClaessonAssists: Brett Howden · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P1 9:35NYIAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Thomas Hickey, Valtteri Filppula · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–1
- P1 10:38NYIBrock NelsonAssists: Nick Leddy, Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 2:24NYIAnthony BeauvillierAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Leo Komarov · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–3
- P2 3:21NYRKevin HayesSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.09 xG3–3
- P2 5:13NYIAnthony BeauvillierPPAssists: Johnny Boychuk, Mathew Barzal · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–4
- P2 14:04NYIAnders LeePPAssists: Nick Leddy, Josh Bailey · Tip-in, 0.11 xG3–5
- P3 9:56NYILeo KomarovGWGAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Anthony Beauvillier · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–6
- P3 13:13NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Neal Pionk, Alexandar Georgiev · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–6
- P3 17:31NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Vladislav Namestnikov, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–6
- P3 19:39NYICal ClutterbuckENAssists: Brock Nelson · Wrist, 0.73 xG5–7
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:49NYIJordan Eberle: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 15:29NYRMika Zibanejad: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 2:41NYRVinni Lettieri: Interference2 min
- P2 4:41NYRBrady Skjei: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 6:28NYIBrock Nelson: Holding2 min
- P2 12:47NYRChris Kreider: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:16NYIThomas Hickey: Boarding2 min
- P3 12:52NYIMathew Barzal: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nelson won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Hayes – Namestnikov12:08
xG 0.67–0.28 (71%)attempts 17–5goals 0–1
- Zuccarello – Zibanejad – Chytil9:09
xG 0.26–0.03 (89%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- McLeod – Lettieri – Andersson6:12
xG 0.07–0.21 (25%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Fast – Vesey – Howden9:44
xG 0.32–0.74 (30%)attempts 10–11goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Claesson14:36
xG 0.65–0.15 (81%)attempts 14–8goals 1–2
- Staal – Pionk11:40
xG 0.36–0.47 (43%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Skjei – DeAngelo12:29
xG 0.26–0.56 (32%)attempts 12–10goals 0–2
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestFilppula – Komarov – Beauvillier10:49
xG 0.69–0.51 (57%)attempts 10–11goals 3–0
- Gionta – Clutterbuck – Johnston5:18
xG 0.04–0.09 (31%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Bailey – Lee – Barzal9:53
xG 0.22–0.34 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
- Eberle – Nelson – Kuhnhackl9:31
xG 0.18–0.34 (34%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Pelech11:17
xG 0.37–0.27 (58%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Hickey – Mayfield13:05
xG 0.37–0.58 (39%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Leddy – Pulock13:56
xG 0.11–0.39 (22%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).